Evansville vs. Middle Tennessee prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 10, 2026

Middle Tennessee is favored to beat Evansville at Murphy Center on Tuesday (7:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Evansville vs. Middle Tennessee prediction gives Evansville a 77.1% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Evansville as the underdog.

Evansville vs. Middle Tennessee key predictions

• Predicted score: Middle Tennessee 77-69 Evansville
• Middle Tennessee win probability: 77.1%
• Evansville win probability: 22.9%
• Evansville +9.5 spread: 54.2% cover probability
• Over 144.5 points: 53.0% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Evansville vs. Middle Tennessee odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Evansville moneyline: +400 (FanDuel)
• Middle Tennessee moneyline: -435 (BetRivers)
• Evansville +9.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Middle Tennessee -9.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 144.5 points: -108 (BetRivers)
• Under 144.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Evansville vs. Middle Tennessee pick: Evansville ML (+400)

Our model makes Middle Tennessee the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Middle Tennessee moneyline at +400 on FanDuel.

Those odds give Evansville an implied win probability of 20.0%, while our model puts it at 22.9%.

That's a 2.9% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
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Evansville vs. Middle Tennessee game details

• Matchup: Evansville vs. Middle Tennessee
• Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• Venue: Murphy Center
• Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.