Jets vs. Red Wings: NHL Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jets vs. Red Wings NHL game on Sunday, October 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIVE
1st 00:00
NHL
Updating LIVE
LIVE
1st 00:00
Updating LIVE
NHL sport icon
NHL
Jets
2
:
0
Little Caesars Arena
Red Wings
Little Caesars Arena
TEAM123T
Jets
2 2
Red Wings
0 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Jets
    83%
  • Red Wings
    17%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Jets
2 2
Red Wings
0 0
P1 19:58 Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 19:33 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 19:10 Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 18:00 Shot missed by Cole Perfetti
P1 17:54 Cole Perfetti shot blocked by Albert Johansson
P1 17:06 Ben Chiarot shot blocked by teammate
P1 17:02 Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 15:20 Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by teammate
P1 14:35 Power play - Goal scored by Kyle Connor
P1 12:55 Power play - Shot on goal by Gabriel Vilardi saved by John Gibson
P1 12:45 Power play - Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by John Gibson
P1 12:20 Power play - Shot on goal by Gabriel Vilardi saved by John Gibson
P1 11:51 Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 10:19 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Alex Iafallo
P1 10:14 Shorthanded - Alex Iafallo shot blocked by Viktor Arvidsson
P1 09:41 Power play - Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by teammate
P1 09:30 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 09:20 Shot on goal by Viggo Bjorck saved by John Gibson
P1 09:01 Andrew Copp shot blocked by Dylan Samberg
P1 08:16 Shot missed by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
Play by Play
  1. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  2. P1 19:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Stuart Skinner
  3. P1 19:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
  4. P1 19:25
    Jets won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  5. P1 19:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
  6. P1 18:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Perfetti
  7. P1 17:54
    SHOT
    Cole Perfetti shot blocked by Albert Johansson
  8. P1 17:06
    SHOT
    Ben Chiarot shot blocked by teammate
  9. P1 17:03
    Jets won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  10. P1 17:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Stuart Skinner
  11. P1 15:50
    Brad Lambert credited with hit on Albert Johansson in offensive zone
  12. P1 15:20
    SHOT
    Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by teammate
  13. P1 15:03
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in neutral zone
  14. P1 14:45
    Emmitt Finnie won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
  15. P1 14:45
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  16. P1 14:36
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in neutral zone
  17. P1 14:35
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Kyle Connor
    2-0
  18. P1 13:04
    Power play - Vladislav Namestnikov won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  19. P1 12:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Gabriel Vilardi saved by John Gibson
  20. P1 12:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by John Gibson
  21. P1 12:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Gabriel Vilardi saved by John Gibson
  22. P1 12:10
    Shorthanded - Andrew Copp won faceoff against Gabriel Vilardi in defensive zone
  23. P1 12:10
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  24. P1 12:10
    Penalty to Tyrel Bauer 2 minutes for Misconduct
  25. P1 11:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Stuart Skinner
  26. P1 10:19
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Alex Iafallo
  27. P1 10:14
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Alex Iafallo shot blocked by Viktor Arvidsson
  28. P1 09:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by teammate
  29. P1 09:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
  30. P1 09:26
    Penalty to Gabriel Vilardi 2 minutes for Misconduct
  31. P1 09:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Viggo Bjorck saved by John Gibson
  32. P1 09:01
    SHOT
    Andrew Copp shot blocked by Dylan Samberg
  33. P1 08:30
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  34. P1 08:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
  35. P1 07:39
    SHOT
    Anton Johansson shot blocked by Cole Perfetti
  36. P1 07:37
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
  37. P1 07:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Stuart Skinner
  38. P1 06:59
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in neutral zone
  39. P1 06:16
    Giveaway by Mario Ferraro in defensive zone
  40. P1 05:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
  41. P1 04:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jets
  42. P1 04:42
    Viggo Bjorck won faceoff against Red Wings in offensive zone
  43. P1 04:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by John Gibson
  44. P1 04:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Morrissey saved by John Gibson
  45. P1 03:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  46. P1 03:42
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in offensive zone
  47. P1 03:42
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  48. P1 03:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Stuart Skinner
  49. P1 02:34
    Giveaway by Andreas Englund in defensive zone
  50. P1 01:44
    SHOT
    Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by teammate
  51. P1 01:40
    Giveaway by Neal Pionk in defensive zone
  52. P1 01:34
    Viggo Bjorck won faceoff against Viktor Arvidsson in defensive zone
  53. P1 01:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Stuart Skinner
  54. P1 01:23
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  55. P1 01:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
  56. P1 00:05
    Michael Rasmussen credited with hit on Neal Pionk in offensive zone
  57. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Jets
STATS
Red Wings
11Shots on Goal13
25% Faceoff Win % 75%
2/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
9Penalty Infraction Mins9
9Hits14
5 Shots Blocked 3
7Giveaways3
JetsWPG
Red WingsDET
11Shots on Goal13
25% Faceoff Win % 75%
2/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
9Penalty Infraction Mins9
9Hits14
5 Shots Blocked 3
7Giveaways3

Jets vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NHL Sunday

  • Teams: Winnipeg Jets vs. Detroit Red Wings
  • Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
  • Time: 1:00PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Jets (+1.5, -275), Red Wings (-1.5, +235)
  • Moneyline: Jets -105, Red Wings -108
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals (-120/+105)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Jets: 48.2%
  • Red Wings: 51.8%

Dimers' predictive NHL model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jets a win probability of 48.2%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 51.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Wings are more likely to beat the Jets in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Sunday. Discover the best puck line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Jets vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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