Lightning vs. Wild Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Lightning
- Wild
- Jake Guentzel37.8%
- Brandon Hagel35.2%
- Nikita Kucherov34.9%
- Brayden Point
- Anthony Cirelli
- Kirill Kaprizov47.8%
- Matt Boldy37.4%
- Joel Ek23.4%
- Blake Coleman
- Danila Yurov
Lightning vs. Wild prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Saturday
- Teams: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Minnesota Wild
- Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
- Puck drop: 8:00PM ET
- Venue: Grand Casino Arena
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Lightning (-1.5, +186), Wild (+1.5, -194)
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-103/+104)
- Moneyline: Lightning -130, Wild +130
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Lightning: 51.5%
- Wild: 48.5%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Lightning vs. Wild player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Jake Guentzel, Lightning: 36.8%
- Brandon Hagel, Lightning: 35.0%
- Kirill Kaprizov, Wild: 47.9%
- Matt Boldy, Wild: 40.7%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 51.5%, while the Wild have a win probability of 48.5%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Wild in the NHL game at Grand Casino Arena on Saturday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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