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Stars vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Lightning NHL game on October 30, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Stars
1
2
Oct 30, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Oct 30, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Stars
00101
Lightning
01012
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
StarsDAL
Win %
0%
100%
LightningTB
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Stars
00101
Lightning
01012
OT1 02:35 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
OT1 01:53 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 01:14 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:22 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 18:34 Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 17:34 Shot missed by Colin Blackwell
P3 17:23 Shot missed by Lian Bichsel
P3 16:58 Thomas Harley shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 15:43 Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 14:55 Shot missed by Thomas Harley
P3 14:11 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Lian Bichsel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:46 Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 13:15 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:56 Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 12:20 Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 12:10 Power play - Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 12:01 Power play - Thomas Harley shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
P3 10:39 Power play - Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:39 Power play - Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 09:12 Tyler Seguin shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 02:36
Stars won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
OT1 02:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
OT1 02:19
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in defensive zone
OT1 01:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 01:24
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
OT1 01:24
Stoppage - Offside
OT1 01:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:25
Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
OT1 00:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
OT1 00:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 00:00
Sam Steel won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 18:36
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
P3 18:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 18:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 17:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Colin Blackwell
P3 17:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Lian Bichsel
P3 16:58
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 15:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 14:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Harley
P3 14:11
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Lian Bichsel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:05
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in neutral zone
P3 14:05
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 13:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 13:15
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:56
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 12:41
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
P3 12:20
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 12:17
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 12:17
Penalty to Wyatt Johnston 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)
P3 12:17
Stars won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P3 12:10
SHOT
Power play - Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 12:01
SHOT
Power play - Thomas Harley shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
P3 10:40
Power play - Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 10:40
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 10:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:29
Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 10:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 10:14
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
P3 10:14
Penalty to Erik Cernak 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 09:39
SHOT
Power play - Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 09:15
Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 09:15
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 09:15
Penalty to Dominic James 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Miro Heiskanen)
P3 09:12
SHOT
Tyler Seguin shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 08:02
Giveaway by Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P3 07:59
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Thomas Harley in offensive zone
P3 07:58
Takeaway by Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P3 07:09
Tyler Seguin credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
P3 06:49
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
P3 06:49
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 06:42
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
P3 06:42
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 06:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 06:06
Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 06:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 06:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 06:02
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 05:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 05:21
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 04:53
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 04:53
Penalty to Kyle Capobianco 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Gage Goncalves)
P3 04:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 04:36
Adam Erne credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in offensive zone
P3 04:31
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P3 04:29
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P3 04:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:07
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 04:07
Stoppage - Icing
P3 03:17
Mikko Rantanen credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
P3 02:48
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P3 02:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:45
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P3 02:37
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in defensive zone
P3 02:37
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:04
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P3 02:03
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
P3 02:03
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P3 02:01
GOAL
Goal scored by Adam Erne
1-1
P3 01:30
Giveaway by Ilya Lyubushkin in defensive zone
P3 01:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 01:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 01:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:01
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
P3 01:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 00:36
Ryan McDonagh credited with hit on Sam Steel in neutral zone
P3 00:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 00:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Seguin
P3 00:00
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:14
Power play - Sam Steel won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P2 19:14
Stoppage - Offside
P2 18:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P2 18:29
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 18:16
SHOT
Power play - Tyler Seguin shot blocked by teammate
P2 18:01
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P2 17:36
Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 17:36
Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for High Sticking
P2 17:28
Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P2 17:28
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 17:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle Capobianco
P2 17:10
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P2 15:45
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P2 15:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P2 15:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 15:07
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
P2 15:02
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 14:16
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P2 14:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 13:57
SHOT
Power play - Brayden Point shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P2 13:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 13:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 13:19
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
P2 12:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 12:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 11:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 09:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 09:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
P2 09:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P2 08:44
Lian Bichsel credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P2 08:25
Shorthanded - Lian Bichsel credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P2 06:39
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
P2 06:34
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
P2 06:34
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 06:34
Penalty to Adam Erne 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Ryan McDonagh)
P2 06:32
SHOT
Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P2 06:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 05:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 05:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P2 05:13
Giveaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
P2 04:44
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 04:44
Stoppage - Offside
P2 04:38
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Jason Robertson in defensive zone
P2 04:38
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 04:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
P2 04:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 04:19
SHOT
Sam Steel shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
P2 03:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P2 03:18
Giveaway by J.J. Moser in neutral zone
P2 03:10
Radek Faksa credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
P2 03:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Colin Blackwell
P2 03:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Capobianco saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 02:36
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P2 02:36
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 02:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 01:27
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 01:01
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Sam Steel in defensive zone
P2 01:01
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 00:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Radek Faksa
P2 00:10
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in neutral zone
P2 00:06
Brayden Point won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
P2 00:06
Stoppage - Offside
P2 00:00
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 19:24
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P1 19:08
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Sam Steel
P1 18:46
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
P1 18:46
Stoppage - Icing
P1 17:23
Giveaway by Tyler Seguin in defensive zone
P1 16:51
Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
P1 16:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P1 16:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Stars saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 16:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P1 16:02
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by teammate
P1 15:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
P1 15:04
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
P1 15:04
Stoppage - Icing
P1 14:57
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P1 14:57
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 14:13
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 13:49
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
P1 13:46
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 13:46
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 12:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 12:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 12:07
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Brayden Point
P1 11:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 11:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 11:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P1 11:02
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 11:02
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 10:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P1 08:52
Takeaway by Jason Robertson in neutral zone
P1 08:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 07:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Esa Lindell
P1 07:10
Giveaway by Thomas Harley in neutral zone
P1 06:49
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
P1 06:49
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 06:15
Dominic James won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
P1 06:15
Stoppage - Icing
P1 05:27
SHOT
Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by teammate
P1 05:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 05:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 04:32
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
P1 04:32
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 04:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P1 04:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P1 04:08
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by teammate
P1 03:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P1 03:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 02:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
P1 02:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 02:30
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Radek Faksa
P1 01:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 01:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 01:29
SHOT
Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P1 01:24
SHOT
Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
P1 01:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Seguin
P1 01:15
Sam Steel won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P1 01:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 01:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 00:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 00:25
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P1 00:25
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 00:14
Esa Lindell credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
P1 00:00
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Stars
STATS
Lightning
21Shots on Goal32
57%Faceoff Win %44%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
30Hits21
10Shots Blocked15
13Giveaways17
StarsDAL
LightningTB
21Shots on Goal32
57%Faceoff Win %44%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
30Hits21
10Shots Blocked15
13Giveaways17

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Stars vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Stars vs. Lightning
  • Date: Thursday, October 30, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Stars +130, Lightning -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Stars: 43%
  • Lightning: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 43%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Stars in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Stars vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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