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Stars vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Lightning NHL game on October 30, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
2
Oct 30, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
Oct 30, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stars | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Lightning | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stars | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Lightning | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
OT1 02:35 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
OT1 01:53 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 01:14 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:22 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 18:34 Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 17:34 Shot missed by Colin Blackwell
P3 17:23 Shot missed by Lian Bichsel
P3 16:58 Thomas Harley shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 15:43 Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 14:55 Shot missed by Thomas Harley
P3 14:11 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Lian Bichsel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:46 Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 13:15 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:56 Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 12:20 Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 12:10 Power play - Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 12:01 Power play - Thomas Harley shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
P3 10:39 Power play - Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:39 Power play - Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 09:12 Tyler Seguin shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Stars won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jake Oettinger
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jake Oettinger
Sam Steel won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Colin Blackwell
SHOT
Shot missed by Lian Bichsel
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Lian Bichsel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jake Oettinger
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Wyatt Johnston 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)
Stars won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Power play - Thomas Harley shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
Power play - Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
Penalty to Erik Cernak 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Power play - Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Dominic James 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Miro Heiskanen)
SHOT
Tyler Seguin shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Giveaway by Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Thomas Harley in offensive zone
Takeaway by Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Tyler Seguin credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Penalty to Kyle Capobianco 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Gage Goncalves)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jake Oettinger
Adam Erne credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in offensive zone
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Mikko Rantanen credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Esa Lindell
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Adam Erne
1-1
Giveaway by Ilya Lyubushkin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Ryan McDonagh credited with hit on Sam Steel in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Seguin
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Power play - Sam Steel won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Tyler Seguin shot blocked by teammate
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for High Sticking
Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle Capobianco
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Power play - Brayden Point shot blocked by Esa Lindell
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jake Oettinger
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
Lian Bichsel credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Lian Bichsel credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Adam Erne 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Ryan McDonagh)
SHOT
Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Giveaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Jason Robertson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Sam Steel shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
Giveaway by J.J. Moser in neutral zone
Radek Faksa credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Colin Blackwell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Capobianco saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jake Oettinger
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Sam Steel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Radek Faksa
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in neutral zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Sam Steel
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Tyler Seguin in defensive zone
Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Shot on goal by Stars saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Brayden Point
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
Takeaway by Jason Robertson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Esa Lindell
Giveaway by Thomas Harley in neutral zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Dominic James won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Radek Faksa
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Seguin
Sam Steel won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Esa Lindell credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 21 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 57% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 30 | Hits | 21 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 21 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 57% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 30 | Hits | 21 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 17 |
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Stars vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Stars vs. Lightning
- Date: Thursday, October 30, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Stars +130, Lightning -150
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Stars: 43%
- Lightning: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 43%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Stars in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Stars vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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