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Golden Knights vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Lightning NHL game on October 26, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
2
Oct 26, 9PM Benchmark International Arena
Oct 26, 9PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Golden Knights | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Lightning | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Golden Knights | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Lightning | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
OT1 00:32 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Carl Lindbom
P3 19:58 Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:43 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:29 Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:07 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 16:38 Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
P3 16:30 Power play - Jack Eichel shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
P3 16:15 Power play - Shot on goal by William Karlsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:09 Power play - Shot missed by Jack Eichel
P3 15:21 Power play - Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:21 Mitch Marner shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 14:04 Mitch Marner shot blocked by Dominic James
P3 13:38 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
P3 13:23 Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 13:23 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Carl Lindbom
P3 12:30 Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Barbashev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:20 Power play - Shot missed by Alexander Holtz
P3 11:36 Power play - Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:32 Power play - Shot missed by Jeremy Lauzon
P3 06:59 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Carl Lindbom
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Gage Goncalves credited with hit on Kaedan Korczak in offensive zone
Jeremy Lauzon credited with hit on Dominic James in defensive zone
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
Zach Whitecloud credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Golden Knights won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against William Karlsson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
SHOT
Power play - Jack Eichel shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Karlsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jack Eichel
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Roughing
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Dominic James
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
1-2
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Carl Lindbom
William Karlsson won faceoff against Oliver Bjorkstrand in neutral zone
Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Ben Hutton credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Reilly Smith credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Barbashev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alexander Holtz
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jeremy Lauzon
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Jeremy Lauzon)
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
William Karlsson won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Carl Lindbom
Giveaway by Brandon Saad in offensive zone
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on William Karlsson in neutral zone
William Karlsson won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Ben Hutton shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Ben Hutton
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in offensive zone
Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Brayden McNabb in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Carl Lindbom
Giveaway by Pavel Dorofeyev in neutral zone
Giveaway by Brayden Point in neutral zone
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Brett Howden in defensive zone
SHOT
Shea Theodore shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ben Hutton
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
Giveaway by William Karlsson in offensive zone
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Ben Hutton in offensive zone
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by William Karlsson
William Karlsson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Carl Lindbom
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
SHOT
Ben Hutton shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
William Karlsson shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Shea Theodore
SHOT
Brayden McNabb shot blocked by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Carl Lindbom
SHOT
Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Zach Whitecloud credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
Brett Howden won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Carl Lindbom
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Zach Whitecloud in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Carl Lindbom
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Carl Lindbom
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Kaedan Korczak 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Carl Lindbom
Reilly Smith credited with hit on Oliver Bjorkstrand in neutral zone
Giveaway by Oliver Bjorkstrand in offensive zone
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
SHOT
Shot missed by Dominic James
William Karlsson won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Jeremy Lauzon in offensive zone
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against William Karlsson in offensive zone
William Karlsson won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Carl Lindbom
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Carl Lindbom
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Carl Lindbom
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against William Karlsson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Carl Lindbom
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
Penalty to Jeremy Lauzon 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Nikita Kucherov)
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against William Karlsson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Carl Lindbom
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Colton Sissons saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Gage Goncalves in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Shea Theodore
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
Giveaway by Brayden McNabb in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by J.J. Moser
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Defensive Skater
SHOT
Reilly Smith shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Zach Whitecloud in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Carl Lindbom
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ivan Barbashev in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Gage Goncalves in neutral zone
Gage Goncalves credited with hit on Jeremy Lauzon in offensive zone
Dominic James won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
Dominic James won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against William Karlsson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by Ben Hutton in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Carl Lindbom
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Ben Hutton
Keegan Kolesar credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by William Karlsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Eichel
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Carl Lindbom
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Shea Theodore
Power play - Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Reilly Smith in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Brandon Saad in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Carl Lindbom
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Golden Knights
Shorthanded - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Shea Theodore
Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by William Karlsson
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against William Karlsson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shorthanded - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Mitch Marner
Giveaway by Ivan Barbashev in neutral zone
SHOT
Ivan Barbashev shot blocked by Victor Hedman
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Carl Lindbom
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Holtz saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against William Karlsson in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Victor Hedman and Jake Guentzel
0-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Carl Lindbom
SHOT
Brandon Saad shot blocked by Dominic James
SHOT
Brandon Saad shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Shot missed by Dominic James
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaedan Korczak
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Shea Theodore
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Karlsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
William Karlsson won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Alexander Holtz in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Carl Lindbom
Brett Howden credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in neutral zone
Dominic James won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 19 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/0 | |||
| 15 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 11 | |||
| 27 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 24 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 19 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/0 | |||
| 15 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 11 | |||
| 27 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 24 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 17 |
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Golden Knights vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Golden Knights vs. Lightning
- Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights +115, Lightning -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Golden Knights: 46%
- Lightning: 54%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 46%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Golden Knights in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Golden Knights vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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