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Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Canadiens NHL game on April 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
2
Apr 26, 11 PM Bell Centre
Apr 26, 11 PM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Canadiens | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Canadiens | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
P3 19:44 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 19:38 Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P3 19:12 Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 19:03 Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 18:56 Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P3 15:03 Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nikita Kucherov and J.J. Moser
P3 13:45 Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:03 Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 10:47 Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P3 09:23 Shot missed by Corey Perry
P3 09:11 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 08:55 Shot missed by Max Crozier
P3 07:23 Shot missed by Mike Matheson
P3 07:02 Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 06:55 Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
P3 05:11 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 03:20 Dominic James shot blocked by Jake Evans
P3 01:39 Power play - Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Jake Guentzel
P2 18:02 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
P2 17:42 Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Mike Matheson)
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nikita Kucherov and J.J. Moser
3-2
Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
Shorthanded - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Giveaway by Corey Perry in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Corey Perry
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Jake Evans
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Jake Guentzel
2-2
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Lane Hutson
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Arber Xhekaj 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Misconduct
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Nick Paul credited with hit on Kirby Dach in offensive zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Cole Caufield assisted by Nick Suzuki and Lane Hutson
0-2
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Power play - Cole Caufield shot blocked by teammate
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
Power play - Jake Guentzel credited with hit on Mike Matheson in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Penalty to Alex Newhook 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Ryan McDonagh)
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
Cole Caufield credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
Takeaway by Cole Caufield in defensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jakub Dobes
Gage Goncalves credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Penalty to Canadiens 2 minutes for Misconduct (Served by Josh Anderson)
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Jakub Dobes
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
Takeaway by Lane Hutson in defensive zone
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
Brayden Point won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nick Paul won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Power play - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Mike Matheson)
Power play - Alex Newhook won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
Giveaway by Lane Hutson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
Jake Evans credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
Jake Evans credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 20 | Shots on Goal | 18 | |||
| 35% | Faceoff Win % | 65% | |||
| 7/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 6/1 | |||
| 16 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 18 | |||
| 28 | Hits | 50 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 4 |
| |
|---|
| 20 | Shots on Goal | 18 | |||
| 35% | Faceoff Win % | 65% | |||
| 7/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 6/1 | |||
| 16 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 18 | |||
| 28 | Hits | 50 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 4 |
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Lightning vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Canadiens
- Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Bell Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): Not Available
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -115, Canadiens +115
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 51%
- Canadiens: 49%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 51%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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