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Stars vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on April 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
6
5
Apr 13, 11:30PM Scotiabank Arena
Apr 13, 11:30PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stars | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Maple Leafs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stars | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Maple Leafs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
P3 18:45 William Nylander shot blocked by Matt Duchene
P3 16:43 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 16:18 Matthew Knies shot blocked by Tyler Myers
P3 15:39 Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 15:12 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 13:32 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 12:58 Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 11:02 Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 10:31 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 09:56 Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 09:36 Goal scored by Arttu Hyry
P3 08:41 Shot on goal by William Villeneuve saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 08:17 Power play - Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston assisted by Mikko Rantanen and Thomas Harley
P3 07:19 Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 06:02 Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 04:57 Shot missed by Esa Lindell
P3 04:19 Goal scored by Nicholas Robertson assisted by Troy Stecher and Matthew Knies
P3 03:23 Shot on goal by Tyler Myers saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 02:53 Shot missed by Jamie Benn
P3 02:08 Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Artur Akhtyamov
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
John Tavares won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
Stars won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Matt Duchene
Stars won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
Giveaway by Matias Maccelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Casey DeSmith
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Tyler Myers
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Artur Akhtyamov
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
Stoppage - Icing
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
Radek Faksa won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Casey DeSmith
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Casey DeSmith
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Artur Akhtyamov
GOAL
Goal scored by Arttu Hyry
5-5
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Villeneuve saved by Casey DeSmith
John Tavares won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston assisted by Mikko Rantanen and Thomas Harley
4-5
Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Luke Haymes in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Artur Akhtyamov
Shorthanded - Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Power play - Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
Matias Maccelli credited with hit on Radek Faksa in neutral zone
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Artur Akhtyamov
SHOT
Shot missed by Esa Lindell
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Max Domi won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nicholas Robertson assisted by Troy Stecher and Matthew Knies
3-5
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Myers saved by Artur Akhtyamov
SHOT
Shot missed by Jamie Benn
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Artur Akhtyamov
GOAL
Goal scored by Max Domi assisted by William Nylander and Matthew Knies
3-4
Max Domi won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Thomas Harley
Shorthanded - John Tavares won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Artur Akhtyamov
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Casey DeSmith
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Artur Akhtyamov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Artur Akhtyamov
Giveaway by Easton Cowan in neutral zone
Giveaway by Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Luke Haymes in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Artur Akhtyamov
Oskar Back won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Esa Lindell
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Harley
Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
Stars won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
Giveaway by Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Casey DeSmith
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Petrovic
SHOT
Shot on goal by Arttu Hyry saved by Artur Akhtyamov
SHOT
Shot missed by Arttu Hyry
Max Domi won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jason Robertson
3-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Artur Akhtyamov
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Quillan saved by Casey DeSmith
Giveaway by Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Casey DeSmith
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Casey DeSmith
Shorthanded - Arttu Hyry won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Casey DeSmith
Stars won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
Stars won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Artur Akhtyamov
Giveaway by Thomas Harley in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Artur Akhtyamov
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Luke Haymes saved by Casey DeSmith
Stars won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mavrik Bourque
1-3
John Tavares won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Giveaway by Alexander Petrovic in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Artur Akhtyamov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Artur Akhtyamov
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Luke Haymes in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Colin Blackwell shot blocked by William Villeneuve
Max Domi won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Max Domi won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Casey DeSmith
Stars won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Artur Akhtyamov
SHOT
Power play - Kyle Capobianco shot blocked by Luke Haymes
SHOT
Power play - Jason Robertson shot blocked by Troy Stecher
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Tyler Myers
SHOT
Esa Lindell shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Artur Akhtyamov
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Tyler Myers
Penalty to Arttu Hyry 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Troy Stecher)
SHOT
Kyle Capobianco shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Casey DeSmith
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 32 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 60% | Faceoff Win % | 40% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 11 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 13 |
| |
|---|
| 32 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 60% | Faceoff Win % | 40% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 11 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 13 |
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Stars vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Stars vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Monday, April 13, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Stars -174, Maple Leafs +177
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Stars: 61%
- Maple Leafs: 39%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 61%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 39%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Stars vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
