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Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Panthers vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
6
2
Apr 11, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
Apr 11, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Panthers | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Panthers | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
P3 19:26 Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Tobias Bjornfot
P3 18:34 Shot missed by Cole Reinhardt
P3 17:41 Shot missed by Noah Gregor
P3 17:29 Max Domi shot blocked by Tobias Bjornfot
P3 16:26 Shot on goal by Wilmer Skoog saved by Joseph Woll
P3 13:06 Max Domi shot blocked by Wilmer Skoog
P3 13:03 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 12:47 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 10:46 Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 10:16 Shot on goal by Cole Schwindt saved by Joseph Woll
P3 07:50 Luke Haymes shot blocked by Nolan Foote
P3 06:07 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 05:42 Shot on goal by Mike Benning saved by Joseph Woll
P3 03:56 Donovan Sebrango shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 03:48 Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Joseph Woll
P3 02:06 Shot on goal by Ludvig Jansson saved by Joseph Woll
P3 01:37 Shot on goal by Cole Schwindt saved by Joseph Woll
P3 00:36 Shot missed by Gustav Forsling
P2 19:06 Shot on goal by Jesper Boqvist saved by Joseph Woll
P2 18:40 Shot missed by William Nylander
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Tobias Bjornfot
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Reinhardt
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Luke Kunin in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Gregor
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Tobias Bjornfot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wilmer Skoog saved by Joseph Woll
Cole Schwindt won faceoff against Luke Haymes in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in offensive zone
Giveaway by Marek Alscher in defensive zone
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Wilmer Skoog
William Nylander won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Daniil Tarasov
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Daniil Tarasov
Luke Kunin credited with hit on Matias Maccelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Giveaway by Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Schwindt saved by Joseph Woll
Stoppage - Icing
Easton Cowan credited with hit on Mike Benning in offensive zone
SHOT
Luke Haymes shot blocked by Nolan Foote
Cole Schwindt won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Daniil Tarasov
John Tavares won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Benning saved by Joseph Woll
Stoppage - Icing
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Jesper Boqvist in neutral zone
Cole Schwindt won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
SHOT
Donovan Sebrango shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Joseph Woll
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Noah Gregor in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ludvig Jansson saved by Joseph Woll
Panthers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Schwindt saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Gustav Forsling
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
John Tavares won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Cole Schwindt won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jesper Boqvist saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Cole Reinhardt credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vinnie Hinostroza saved by Joseph Woll
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Luke Kunin won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Michael Pezzetta
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Luke Kunin
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Donovan Sebrango in offensive zone
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Daniil Tarasov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Daniil Tarasov
Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Nolan Foote 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by William Villeneuve)
Tomas Nosek won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Cole Reinhardt credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Vinnie Hinostroza
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Joseph Woll
Max Domi won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Pezzetta saved by Daniil Tarasov
SHOT
William Villeneuve shot blocked by Wilmer Skoog
Cole Schwindt won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Vinnie Hinostroza
SHOT
Easton Cowan shot blocked by teammate
Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
SHOT
Eetu Luostarinen shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
A.J. Greer shot blocked by William Villeneuve
Luke Haymes credited with hit on Tobias Bjornfot in offensive zone
Luke Kunin won faceoff against Luke Haymes in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Schwindt saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wilmer Skoog saved by Joseph Woll
Max Domi won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
John Tavares won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Max Domi won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Luke Kunin won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nolan Foote saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Eetu Luostarinen shot blocked by William Nylander
Panthers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Cole Reinhardt
Luke Haymes won faceoff against Luke Kunin in offensive zone
Takeaway by Easton Cowan in offensive zone
Giveaway by Vinnie Hinostroza in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Pezzetta
John Tavares won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Jesper Boqvist in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Luke Haymes in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by A.J. Greer
SHOT
Shot missed by Donovan Sebrango
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Joseph Woll
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
Cole Schwindt credited with hit on Matias Maccelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Wilmer Skoog
Panthers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Quillan saved by Daniil Tarasov
SHOT
Shot missed by Marek Alscher
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Daniil Tarasov
Cole Reinhardt credited with hit on William Villeneuve in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Stecher
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Matias Maccelli credited with hit on Donovan Sebrango in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by A.J. Greer saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Daniil Tarasov
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Schwindt
Shorthanded - Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Daniil Tarasov
SHOT
Shot missed by Panthers
Max Domi won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Schwindt saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Mackie Samoskevich
SHOT
Ludvig Jansson shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
Nolan Foote credited with hit on William Villeneuve in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tomas Nosek
John Tavares won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in offensive zone
Cole Schwindt won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
SHOT
Mackie Samoskevich shot blocked by Troy Stecher
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 19 | |||
| 36% | Faceoff Win % | 64% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/1 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 2 | |||
| 23 | Hits | 26 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 12 |
| |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 19 | |||
| 36% | Faceoff Win % | 64% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/1 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 2 | |||
| 23 | Hits | 26 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 12 |
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Panthers vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Panthers vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Panthers +141, Maple Leafs -141
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Panthers: 47%
- Maple Leafs: 53%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Panthers a win probability of 47%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Panthers in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Panthers vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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