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Flames vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flames vs. Avalanche NHL game on April 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
3
Apr 10, 1AM Ball Arena
Apr 10, 1AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Flames | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Avalanche | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Flames | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Avalanche | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
P3 18:52 Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Morgan Frost
P3 18:30 Shot missed by Tyson Gross
P3 17:08 Goal scored by Tyson Gross assisted by Matvei Gridin and Matt Coronato (Empty Net)
P3 17:03 Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 16:12 Power play - Shot on goal by Aydar Suniev saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 14:16 Power play - Matvei Gridin shot blocked by Valeri Nichushkin
P3 13:24 Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
P3 13:20 Sam Malinski shot blocked by Adam Klapka
P3 13:14 Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 12:43 Jack Drury shot blocked by Brayden Pachal
P3 11:31 Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P3 11:00 Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P3 10:52 Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 10:29 Shot on goal by Aydar Suniev saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 09:59 Shot on goal by John Beecher saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 08:15 Shot missed by Sam Malinski
P3 07:44 Power play - Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 07:21 Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 05:28 Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 04:56 Shot missed by Sam Malinski
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
SHOT
Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Morgan Frost
Avalanche challenge (Offside), call reversed
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyson Gross
Tyson Gross won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tyson Gross assisted by Matvei Gridin and Matt Coronato (Empty Net)
1-2
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Flames won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Matt Coronato in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Aydar Suniev saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Power play - Matvei Gridin shot blocked by Valeri Nichushkin
Power play - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Penalty to Joel Kiviranta 2 minutes for High Sticking
Giveaway by Zayne Parekh in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
SHOT
Sam Malinski shot blocked by Adam Klapka
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Dustin Wolf
Tyson Gross won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
SHOT
Jack Drury shot blocked by Brayden Pachal
Takeaway by Olli Maatta in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
SHOT
Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aydar Suniev saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Flames won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Beecher saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Takeaway by Logan O'Connor in defensive zone
Zach Whitecloud credited with hit on Brent Burns in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Malinski
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Dustin Wolf
Tyson Gross won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Penalty to Matt Coronato 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Malinski
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against John Beecher in neutral zone
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by John Beecher
Tyson Gross won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Dustin Wolf
Takeaway by Devon Toews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Dustin Wolf
Flames won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Klapka saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aydar Suniev saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Dustin Wolf
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Parker Kelly shot blocked by Olli Maatta
Jack Drury won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Coronato
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Zary saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
John Beecher won faceoff against Ross Colton in neutral zone
Brayden Pachal credited with hit on Joel Kiviranta in defensive zone
SHOT
Morgan Frost shot blocked by Brock Nelson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Dustin Wolf
Flames won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Coronato
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yan Kuznetsov saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
John Beecher won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
Giveaway by Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
Giveaway by Parker Kelly in defensive zone
Artturi Lehkonen credited with hit on Olli Maatta in offensive zone
Flames won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Morgan Frost shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Logan O'Connor saved by Dustin Wolf
Hunter Brzustewicz credited with hit on Parker Kelly in defensive zone
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Tyson Gross in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Dustin Wolf
Flames won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zayne Parekh saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Martin Necas
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by John Beecher
Flames won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Dustin Wolf
Power play - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hunter Brzustewicz saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Dustin Wolf
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Tyson Gross in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Dustin Wolf
John Beecher won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
Ross Colton won faceoff against John Beecher in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Giveaway by Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
End of 1st Period.
Yan Kuznetsov credited with hit on Artturi Lehkonen in defensive zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Gabriel Landeskog assisted by Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas
0-1
Penalty to John Beecher 2 minutes for Hooking
SHOT
Shot missed by John Beecher
SHOT
Martin Necas shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
SHOT
Josh Manson shot blocked by Joel Farabee
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone
Adam Klapka credited with hit on Nick Blankenburg in defensive zone
SHOT
Nick Blankenburg shot blocked by Adam Klapka
SHOT
Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
SHOT
Shot missed by Olli Maatta
John Beecher won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
Jack Drury won faceoff against John Beecher in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
SHOT
Aydar Suniev shot blocked by Ross Colton
SHOT
Ross Colton shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Yan Kuznetsov
SHOT
Sam Malinski shot blocked by Tyson Gross
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
Stoppage - Icing
Zayne Parekh won faceoff against Valeri Nichushkin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Pachal saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Olli Maatta saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Whitecloud
SHOT
Josh Manson shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
SHOT
Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Brett Kulak
SHOT
Nick Blankenburg shot blocked by Hunter Brzustewicz
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Flames shot blocked by teammate
Matt Coronato won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot missed by Parker Kelly
SHOT
Brayden Pachal shot blocked by Nick Blankenburg
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against John Beecher in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Nelson
SHOT
Shot missed by Gabriel Landeskog
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 41 | |||
| 51% | Faceoff Win % | 49% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 11 | |||
| 19 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 12 |
| |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 41 | |||
| 51% | Faceoff Win % | 49% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 11 | |||
| 19 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 12 |
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Flames vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Flames vs. Avalanche
- Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Flames +288, Avalanche -285
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Flames: 29%
- Avalanche: 71%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flames a win probability of 29%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 71%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Flames vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
