Panthers vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Panthers vs. Penguins NHL game on April 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Panthers
4
9
PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
PPG Paints Arena
TEAM123T
Panthers
2 0 2 4
Penguins
2 6 1 9
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Panthers
    0%
  • Penguins
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Panthers
2 0 2 4
Penguins
2 6 1 9
P3 18:20 Donovan Sebrango shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 17:59 Shot missed by A.J. Greer
P3 17:48 Rickard Rakell shot blocked by A.J. Greer
P3 15:15 Connor Clifton shot blocked by Sam Bennett
P3 15:08 Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 13:49 Shot on goal by Samuel Girard saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 13:43 Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
P3 12:58 Shot missed by Cole Schwindt
P3 12:51 Shot on goal by Luke Kunin saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 12:42 Shot missed by Tomas Nosek
P3 11:37 Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
P3 11:29 Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
P3 07:36 Ryan Shea shot blocked by teammate
P3 04:34 Shot missed by Donovan Sebrango
P3 03:30 Goal scored by Evgeni Malkin
P3 02:52 Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Seth Jones
P3 01:22 Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Daniil Tarasov
P2 19:29 Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Donovan Sebrango
P2 19:25 Shot missed by Kris Letang
P2 18:07 Ryan Shea shot blocked by Mike Benning
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:28
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in defensive zone
  3. P3 19:14
    Stoppage - Offside
  4. P3 18:20
    SHOT
    Donovan Sebrango shot blocked by Kris Letang
  5. P3 17:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by A.J. Greer
  6. P3 17:51
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  7. P3 17:51
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  8. P3 17:48
    SHOT
    Rickard Rakell shot blocked by A.J. Greer
  9. P3 16:42
    Giveaway by Mike Benning in defensive zone
  10. P3 15:15
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by Sam Bennett
  11. P3 15:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Daniil Tarasov
  12. P3 13:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Samuel Girard saved by Daniil Tarasov
  13. P3 13:43
    SHOT
    Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
  14. P3 12:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Schwindt
  15. P3 12:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  16. P3 12:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Luke Kunin saved by Arturs Silovs
  17. P3 12:50
    Cole Schwindt won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  18. P3 12:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tomas Nosek
  19. P3 12:06
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in neutral zone
  20. P3 11:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
  21. P3 11:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
  22. P3 10:55
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
  23. P3 10:55
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  24. P3 10:23
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
  25. P3 10:23
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  26. P3 10:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  27. P3 09:32
    Cole Schwindt won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  28. P3 09:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  29. P3 08:02
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in neutral zone
  30. P3 07:36
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by teammate
  31. P3 06:32
    Takeaway by Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  32. P3 05:59
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in offensive zone
  33. P3 05:59
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  34. P3 05:53
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in offensive zone
  35. P3 05:53
    Stoppage - Icing
  36. P3 04:36
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
  37. P3 04:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  38. P3 04:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Donovan Sebrango
  39. P3 03:30
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
  40. P3 03:30
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Evgeni Malkin
    2-9
  41. P3 03:27
    Takeaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
  42. P3 02:54
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  43. P3 02:52
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Seth Jones
  44. P3 01:25
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  45. P3 01:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  46. P3 01:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Daniil Tarasov
  47. P3 00:36
    Giveaway by Donovan Sebrango in defensive zone
  48. P3 00:00
    Sam Bennett won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  49. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  50. P2 19:36
    Carter Verhaeghe won faceoff against Connor Dewar in defensive zone
  51. P2 19:34
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
  52. P2 19:29
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Donovan Sebrango
  53. P2 19:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kris Letang
  54. P2 18:15
    Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  55. P2 18:07
    Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
  56. P2 18:07
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by Mike Benning
  57. P2 17:48
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  58. P2 17:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  59. P2 16:46
    Shorthanded - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  60. P2 16:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
  61. P2 16:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Egor Chinakhov shot blocked by teammate
  62. P2 15:54
    Penalty to Eetu Luostarinen 2 minutes for Misconduct
  63. P2 15:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Daniil Tarasov
  64. P2 15:17
    SHOT
    Mike Benning shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
  65. P2 15:12
    Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  66. P2 15:12
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - Player Equipment
  67. P2 15:05
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  68. P2 14:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Reinhardt
  69. P2 14:21
    Giveaway by Cole Reinhardt in defensive zone
  70. P2 13:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Gregor
  71. P2 13:24
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by Mike Benning
  72. P2 12:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
  73. P2 12:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Donovan Sebrango saved by Arturs Silovs
  74. P2 12:01
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  75. P2 11:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Daniil Tarasov
  76. P2 11:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Arturs Silovs
  77. P2 11:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Arturs Silovs
  78. P2 11:26
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in offensive zone
  79. P2 11:26
    Stoppage - Icing
  80. P2 10:30
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  81. P2 10:30
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  82. P2 10:29
    SHOT
    Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  83. P2 09:53
    Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  84. P2 09:48
    Giveaway by Mikulas Hovorka in defensive zone
  85. P2 09:30
    Giveaway by Elmer Soderblom in offensive zone
  86. P2 09:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
  87. P2 08:27
    A.J. Greer won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  88. P2 08:16
    Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  89. P2 08:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  90. P2 07:49
    SHOT
    Luke Kunin shot blocked by Sidney Crosby
  91. P2 07:16
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in neutral zone
  92. P2 06:08
    SHOT
    Jesper Boqvist shot blocked by teammate
  93. P2 05:51
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  94. P2 05:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  95. P2 05:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
  96. P2 05:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  97. P2 04:26
    Shorthanded - Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  98. P2 04:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  99. P2 03:47
    Cole Schwindt won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  100. P2 03:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  101. P2 03:39
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in offensive zone
  102. P2 02:33
    Giveaway by Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
  103. P2 01:58
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in neutral zone
  104. P2 01:58
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  105. P2 01:51
    Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  106. P2 01:45
    Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  107. P2 01:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
  108. P2 01:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  109. P2 00:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Bennett
  110. P2 00:06
    Giveaway by Arturs Silovs in defensive zone
  111. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  112. P1 19:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Samuel Girard saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  113. P1 19:08
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  114. P1 19:08
    Stoppage - Icing
  115. P1 18:23
    Cole Schwindt won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  116. P1 18:23
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  117. P1 17:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  118. P1 17:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  119. P1 17:08
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by teammate
  120. P1 16:35
    Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  121. P1 16:35
    Stoppage - Offside
  122. P1 15:53
    SHOT
    A.J. Greer shot blocked by Kris Letang
  123. P1 15:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Arturs Silovs
  124. P1 15:31
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in offensive zone
  125. P1 15:31
    Stoppage
  126. P1 14:31
    Sam Bennett won faceoff against Connor Dewar in neutral zone
  127. P1 14:06
    Giveaway by Jesper Boqvist in neutral zone
  128. P1 13:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Shea
  129. P1 11:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  130. P1 11:39
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  131. P1 11:24
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in offensive zone
  132. P1 11:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  133. P1 09:18
    SHOT
    Elmer Soderblom shot blocked by Seth Jones
  134. P1 09:00
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
  135. P1 08:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Reinhardt saved by Arturs Silovs
  136. P1 08:38
    SHOT
    Luke Kunin shot blocked by teammate
  137. P1 07:10
    Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  138. P1 07:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by A.J. Greer saved by Arturs Silovs
  139. P1 06:34
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by Mike Benning
  140. P1 06:28
    SHOT
    Thomas Novak shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
  141. P1 05:06
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
  142. P1 04:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Tomas Nosek
  143. P1 04:12
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in offensive zone
  144. P1 04:12
    Penalty to Mike Benning 2 minutes for Boarding (Drawn by Bryan Rust)
  145. P1 03:41
    Giveaway by Bryan Rust in offensive zone
  146. P1 03:34
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in offensive zone
  147. P1 03:31
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in offensive zone
  148. P1 03:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  149. P1 02:52
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
  150. P1 02:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  151. P1 02:21
    Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Carter Verhaeghe in offensive zone
  152. P1 02:04
    Cole Schwindt won faceoff against Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
  153. P1 01:14
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by teammate
  154. P1 01:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  155. P1 00:20
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
  156. P1 00:20
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Noel Acciari assisted by Elmer Soderblom and Erik Karlsson
    0-1
  157. P1 00:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  158. P1 00:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Arturs Silovs
Stats
Panthers
STATS
Penguins
23Shots on Goal31
46% Faceoff Win % 54%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/3
11Penalty Infraction Mins5
18Hits10
14 Shots Blocked 11
20Giveaways19
PanthersFLA
PenguinsPIT
23Shots on Goal31
46% Faceoff Win % 54%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/3
11Penalty Infraction Mins5
18Hits10
14 Shots Blocked 11
20Giveaways19

Panthers vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Panthers vs. Penguins
  • Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Panthers +205, Penguins 66¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Panthers: 37%
  • Penguins: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Panthers a win probability of 37%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Panthers in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Panthers vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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