Red Wings vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Wings vs. Sabres NHL game on March 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Red Wings
5
2
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123T
Red Wings
3 0 2 5
Sabres
0 1 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Wings
    100%
  • Sabres
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Red Wings
3 0 2 5
Sabres
0 1 1 2
P3 19:31 Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Alex Lyon
P3 16:21 Bowen Byram shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:46 Goal scored by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P3 14:42 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P3 14:10 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by John Gibson
P3 13:09 Power play - Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Alex Lyon
P3 13:03 Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Alex Lyon
P3 12:01 Power play - Shot missed by Andrew Copp
P3 11:45 Power play - Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
P3 11:25 Power play - Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by Logan Stanley
P3 10:31 Shorthanded - Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P3 09:12 Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P3 08:37 Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by John Gibson
P3 06:00 Power play - Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P3 05:08 Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by teammate
P3 03:37 Shot missed by Red Wings
P3 00:57 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by John Gibson
P2 19:03 Power play - Josh Norris shot blocked by Justin Faulk
P2 18:58 Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
P2 18:45 Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:50
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Dominik Shine in neutral zone
  3. P3 19:50
    Stoppage - Offside
  4. P3 19:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Alex Lyon
  5. P3 18:17
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Sam Carrick in neutral zone
  6. P3 17:00
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  7. P3 17:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  8. P3 16:25
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  9. P3 16:21
    SHOT
    Bowen Byram shot blocked by teammate
  10. P3 15:46
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
  11. P3 15:46
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jacob Bernard-Docker
    4-1
  12. P3 14:42
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  13. P3 14:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by John Gibson
  14. P3 13:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Alex Lyon
  15. P3 13:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Alex Lyon
  16. P3 12:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Andrew Copp
  17. P3 11:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
  18. P3 11:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by Logan Stanley
  19. P3 10:31
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  20. P3 09:57
    Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  21. P3 09:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  22. P3 09:44
    Penalty to Tage Thompson 4 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Simon Edvinsson)
  23. P3 09:44
    Red Wings won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  24. P3 09:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  25. P3 08:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by John Gibson
  26. P3 07:48
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  27. P3 07:48
    Penalty to Justin Faulk 2 minutes for Misconduct
  28. P3 06:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Conor Timmins
  29. P3 05:53
    Red Wings won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  30. P3 05:08
    SHOT
    Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by teammate
  31. P3 04:12
    Giveaway by Zach Benson in neutral zone
  32. P3 03:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Red Wings
  33. P3 02:13
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  34. P3 00:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by John Gibson
  35. P3 00:15
    Peyton Krebs credited with hit on J.T. Compher in neutral zone
  36. P3 00:00
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  37. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  38. P2 19:58
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  39. P2 19:58
    Stoppage - Offside
  40. P2 19:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Josh Norris shot blocked by Justin Faulk
  41. P2 18:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
  42. P2 18:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  43. P2 18:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by John Gibson
  44. P2 17:34
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Simon Edvinsson in defensive zone
  45. P2 17:30
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  46. P2 17:30
    Penalty to Mason Appleton 2 minutes for Holding
  47. P2 17:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  48. P2 16:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Doan
  49. P2 15:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Alex Lyon
  50. P2 14:31
    Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  51. P2 14:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by John Gibson
  52. P2 13:57
    SHOT
    Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Tage Thompson
  53. P2 13:42
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  54. P2 13:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Alex Lyon
  55. P2 13:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by John Gibson
  56. P2 12:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Power
  57. P2 12:55
    Josh Norris won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  58. P2 12:55
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  59. P2 12:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by John Gibson
  60. P2 11:28
    Takeaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  61. P2 11:09
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  62. P2 11:09
    Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Lucas Raymond)
  63. P2 11:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  64. P2 10:33
    Giveaway by Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
  65. P2 10:29
    Giveaway by Emmitt Finnie in neutral zone
  66. P2 10:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
  67. P2 09:22
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Dominik Shine
  68. P2 09:16
    SHOT
    Conor Timmins shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  69. P2 08:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Patrick Kane
  70. P2 08:21
    SHOT
    Logan Stanley shot blocked by teammate
  71. P2 07:34
    SHOT
    Bowen Byram shot blocked by Dylan Larkin
  72. P2 07:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by John Gibson
  73. P2 07:18
    SHOT
    Bowen Byram shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
  74. P2 06:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
  75. P2 05:53
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  76. P2 05:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  77. P2 05:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Carrick
  78. P2 05:35
    Sam Carrick won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
  79. P2 05:35
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Tage Thompson
    3-1
  80. P2 03:50
    SHOT
    Bowen Byram shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  81. P2 03:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Zucker
  82. P2 02:44
    Red Wings won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  83. P2 01:09
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by teammate
  84. P2 00:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
  85. P2 00:00
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  86. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  87. P1 19:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by John Gibson
  88. P1 18:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  89. P1 17:53
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Alex Lyon
  90. P1 17:51
    Shorthanded - J.T. Compher won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  91. P1 17:51
    Penalty to Jacob Bernard-Docker 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Beck Malenstyn)
  92. P1 16:44
    SHOT
    Jason Zucker shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  93. P1 16:41
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  94. P1 16:27
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  95. P1 16:27
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  96. P1 15:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Alex Lyon
  97. P1 15:52
    SHOT
    Justin Faulk shot blocked by Josh Norris
  98. P1 14:55
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Sam Carrick in defensive zone
  99. P1 14:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by John Gibson
  100. P1 14:34
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Justin Faulk
  101. P1 12:53
    Dominik Shine won faceoff against Zach Benson in neutral zone
  102. P1 12:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  103. P1 12:20
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  104. P1 12:20
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  105. P1 11:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Copp
  106. P1 11:28
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  107. P1 09:40
    Bowen Byram credited with hit on James van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
  108. P1 09:40
    SHOT
    Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by Owen Power
  109. P1 09:11
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  110. P1 08:25
    Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  111. P1 08:08
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
  112. P1 08:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  113. P1 08:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Alex Lyon
  114. P1 07:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Alex Lyon
  115. P1 07:18
    Red Wings won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  116. P1 07:18
    Stoppage - Icing
  117. P1 06:57
    Red Wings won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  118. P1 06:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Doan
  119. P1 05:37
    Zach Benson won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  120. P1 05:37
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  121. P1 05:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by John Gibson
  122. P1 04:02
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  123. P1 04:02
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Alex DeBrincat assisted by Moritz Seider and Dylan Larkin
    1-0
  124. P1 03:57
    Penalty to Josh Norris 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by J.T. Compher)
  125. P1 03:27
    Giveaway by Zach Benson in defensive zone
  126. P1 02:25
    David Perron credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
  127. P1 02:11
    Giveaway by Jason Zucker in neutral zone
  128. P1 01:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  129. P1 00:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by John Gibson
  130. P1 00:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Copp
  131. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Red Wings
STATS
Sabres
20Shots on Goal30
56% Faceoff Win % 44%
6/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins14
11Hits27
14 Shots Blocked 6
18Giveaways18
Red WingsDET
SabresBUF
20Shots on Goal30
56% Faceoff Win % 44%
6/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins14
11Hits27
14 Shots Blocked 6
18Giveaways18

Red Wings vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Red Wings vs. Sabres
  • Date: Friday, March 27, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Red Wings 43¢, Sabres 57¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Red Wings: 42%
  • Sabres: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Wings a win probability of 42%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Red Wings in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Wings vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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