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Red Wings vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Wings vs. Sabres NHL game on March 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
2
Mar 27, 11PM KeyBank Center
Mar 27, 11PM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Wings | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
Sabres | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Wings | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
Sabres | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
P3 19:31 Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Alex Lyon
P3 16:21 Bowen Byram shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:46 Goal scored by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P3 14:42 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P3 14:10 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by John Gibson
P3 13:09 Power play - Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Alex Lyon
P3 13:03 Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Alex Lyon
P3 12:01 Power play - Shot missed by Andrew Copp
P3 11:45 Power play - Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
P3 11:25 Power play - Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by Logan Stanley
P3 10:31 Shorthanded - Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P3 09:12 Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P3 08:37 Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by John Gibson
P3 06:00 Power play - Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P3 05:08 Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by teammate
P3 03:37 Shot missed by Red Wings
P3 00:57 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by John Gibson
P2 19:03 Power play - Josh Norris shot blocked by Justin Faulk
P2 18:58 Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
P2 18:45 Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Josh Norris won faceoff against Dominik Shine in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Alex Lyon
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Sam Carrick in neutral zone
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
SHOT
Bowen Byram shot blocked by teammate
Josh Norris won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jacob Bernard-Docker
4-1
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Andrew Copp
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
SHOT
Power play - Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by Logan Stanley
SHOT
Shorthanded - Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Penalty to Tage Thompson 4 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Simon Edvinsson)
Red Wings won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Moritz Seider
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by John Gibson
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Penalty to Justin Faulk 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Power play - Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Conor Timmins
Red Wings won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by teammate
Giveaway by Zach Benson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Red Wings
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by John Gibson
Peyton Krebs credited with hit on J.T. Compher in neutral zone
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - Josh Norris shot blocked by Justin Faulk
SHOT
Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by John Gibson
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Simon Edvinsson in defensive zone
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Penalty to Mason Appleton 2 minutes for Holding
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Doan
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Alex Lyon
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Tage Thompson
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Power
Josh Norris won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by John Gibson
Takeaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Lucas Raymond)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Giveaway by Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
Giveaway by Emmitt Finnie in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Dominik Shine
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrick Kane
SHOT
Logan Stanley shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Bowen Byram shot blocked by Dylan Larkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Bowen Byram shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Carrick
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tage Thompson
3-1
SHOT
Bowen Byram shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Zucker
Red Wings won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Alex Lyon
Shorthanded - J.T. Compher won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Penalty to Jacob Bernard-Docker 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Beck Malenstyn)
SHOT
Jason Zucker shot blocked by Moritz Seider
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Justin Faulk shot blocked by Josh Norris
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Sam Carrick in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Justin Faulk
Dominik Shine won faceoff against Zach Benson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Copp
Josh Norris won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Bowen Byram credited with hit on James van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
SHOT
Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by Owen Power
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Alex Lyon
Red Wings won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Red Wings won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Doan
Zach Benson won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by John Gibson
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Alex DeBrincat assisted by Moritz Seider and Dylan Larkin
1-0
Penalty to Josh Norris 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by J.T. Compher)
Giveaway by Zach Benson in defensive zone
David Perron credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
Giveaway by Jason Zucker in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Copp
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 20 | Shots on Goal | 30 | |||
| 56% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 6/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 14 | |||
| 11 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 6 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 18 |
| |
|---|
| 20 | Shots on Goal | 30 | |||
| 56% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 6/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 14 | |||
| 11 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 6 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 18 |
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Red Wings vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Red Wings vs. Sabres
- Date: Friday, March 27, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Red Wings +135, Sabres -133
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Red Wings: 42%
- Sabres: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Wings a win probability of 42%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Red Wings in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Red Wings vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
