Penguins vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Senators NHL game on March 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
3
Mar 26, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
Mar 26, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Senators | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Senators | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
OT1 04:57 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 04:17 Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Linus Ullmark
OT1 03:34 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 03:04 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
OT1 02:36 Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 02:27 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 01:54 Shot on goal by Senators saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 01:54 Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
OT1 00:47 Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
OT1 00:29 Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
P3 19:25 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Nick Cousins
P3 18:16 Carter Yakemchuk shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
P3 18:05 Shot missed by Carter Yakemchuk
P3 16:28 Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 16:18 Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P3 15:26 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 14:40 Samuel Girard shot blocked by Claude Giroux
P3 13:47 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 12:56 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 12:51 Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Linus Ullmark
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of Shootout period.
Shootout attempt by Shane Pinto saved by Stuart Skinner
Shootout Goal scored by Yegor Chinakhov on Linus Ullmark
Shootout attempt by Tim Stutzle saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Stuart Skinner
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
SHOT
Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Nick Cousins
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
SHOT
Carter Yakemchuk shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
SHOT
Shot missed by Carter Yakemchuk
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Kris Letang
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Samuel Girard shot blocked by Claude Giroux
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Ridly Greig
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Linus Ullmark
Takeaway by Claude Giroux in neutral zone
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
SHOT
Warren Foegele shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
SHOT
Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Bryan Rust
Penguins won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
Nick Cousins credited with hit on Thomas Novak in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Samuel Girard saved by Linus Ullmark
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
SHOT
Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Yegor Chinakhov
Giveaway by Bryan Rust in neutral zone
Jordan Spence credited with hit on Ville Koivunen in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Yakemchuk saved by Stuart Skinner
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
SHOT
Jordan Spence shot blocked by Ben Kindel
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Thomas Novak
Shorthanded - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Rickard Rakell assisted by Erik Karlsson and Bryan Rust
3-2
Penguins won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
Penalty to Artem Zub 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penguins won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Linus Ullmark
Power play - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Spence
Giveaway by Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Connor Clifton
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Amadio
Nick Cousins credited with hit on Kris Letang in offensive zone
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
Claude Giroux credited with hit on Ville Koivunen in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
Giveaway by Michael Amadio in neutral zone
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Takeaway by Bryan Rust in neutral zone
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Linus Ullmark
Penguins won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Stuart Skinner
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Amadio
Justin Brazeau credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
Penguins won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Samuel Girard shot blocked by Jorian Donovan
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Erik Karlsson assisted by Rickard Rakell
2-2
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Linus Ullmark
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
Penguins won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Stoppage - Offside
Giveaway by Shane Pinto in defensive zone
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Erik Karlsson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Yakemchuk saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Yakemchuk saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Claude Giroux
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
Fabian Zetterlund credited with hit on Samuel Girard in offensive zone
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Ridly Greig
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
GOAL
Goal scored by Rickard Rakell assisted by Erik Karlsson
1-1
SHOT
Jordan Spence shot blocked by Yegor Chinakhov
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
Penguins won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Carter Yakemchuk
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
Warren Foegele won faceoff against Connor Dewar in defensive zone
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Ville Koivunen shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikolas Matinpalo
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Stuart Skinner
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Penalty Benches
Penalty to Erik Karlsson 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Tyler Kleven)
Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Ridly Greig in offensive zone
Giveaway by Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Jorian Donovan credited with hit on Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Giveaway by Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
Takeaway by Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Samuel Girard
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Bryan Rust in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 38 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 31% | Faceoff Win % | 69% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 31 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 18 |
| |
|---|
| 38 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 31% | Faceoff Win % | 69% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 31 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 18 |
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Penguins vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Penguins vs. Senators
- Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Penguins +133, Senators -138
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Penguins: 43%
- Senators: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 43%, while the Senators have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Penguins vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
