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Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Sabres NHL game on March 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
7
8
Mar 8, 10PM KeyBank Center
Mar 8, 10PM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Sabres | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Sabres | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
P3 19:35 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 17:54 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 16:43 Victor Hedman shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P3 16:39 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Owen Power
P3 15:40 Power play - Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P3 14:59 Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 14:28 Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P3 12:52 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 12:18 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 11:07 Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 10:17 Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 09:47 Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
P3 08:30 Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P3 06:58 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 06:11 Shot on goal by Sam Carrick saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 05:45 Brayden Point shot blocked by Owen Power
P3 05:42 Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 04:34 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 04:03 Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P3 03:57 Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jonas Johansson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Brayden Point won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Owen Power
Brayden Point won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jason Zucker
Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Jonas Johansson
Lightning won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Zucker
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Lightning won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Lightning won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jonas Johansson
Brayden Point won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jonas Johansson
Lightning won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
7-5
Lightning won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Carrick saved by Jonas Johansson
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Conor Geekie in neutral zone
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Owen Power
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Zucker
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
End of 2nd Period.
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jonas Johansson
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sam Carrick in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Power
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Carrick saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by teammate
Lightning won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Lightning won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jonas Johansson
Lightning won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Lightning won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Alex Tuch
1-4
Penalty to Owen Power 2 minutes for High Sticking
Lightning won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jonas Johansson
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
Lightning won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Josh Norris
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Penalty to Ryan McDonagh 2 minutes for High Sticking
SHOT
Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Penalty to Erik Cernak 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Michael Kesselring)
Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for Misconduct
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Benson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Penalty to Erik Cernak 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jonas Johansson
Brayden Point won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Michael Kesselring in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Lightning won faceoff against Sabres in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Peyton Krebs 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jonas Johansson
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Conor Geekie in neutral zone
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Erik Cernak 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Josh Norris)
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by teammate
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Ryan McLeod shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Darren Raddysh)
Penalty to Peyton Krebs 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by teammate
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Giveaway by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 42 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 7/4 | |||
| 57 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 45 | |||
| 40 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 6 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 42 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 7/4 | |||
| 57 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 45 | |||
| 40 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 6 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 17 |
Game Prediction Article
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Lightning vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Sabres
- Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -115, Sabres +100
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 51%
- Sabres: 49%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 51%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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