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Golden Knights vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Penguins NHL game on March 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
0
5
Mar 1, 6PM PPG Paints Arena
Mar 1, 6PM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Golden Knights | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penguins | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Golden Knights | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penguins | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
P3 17:19 Shea Theodore shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P3 15:37 Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 15:15 Noel Acciari shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 14:59 Goal scored by Justin Brazeau assisted by Ben Kindel and Kris Letang
P3 13:58 Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
P3 11:55 Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 11:16 Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Adin Hill
P3 10:13 Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Adin Hill
P3 08:01 Shot missed by Shea Theodore
P3 07:53 Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 07:49 Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 06:56 Power play - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Adin Hill
P3 05:41 Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 03:52 Shot on goal by Brandon Saad saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 03:47 Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
P3 03:17 Ben Kindel shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar
P3 02:09 Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
P3 01:10 Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 17:17 Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
P2 17:01 Power play - Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Arturs Silovs
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Colton Sissons in defensive zone
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Ivan Barbashev in defensive zone
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
SHOT
Shea Theodore shot blocked by Connor Clifton
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Noel Acciari shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
GOAL
Goal scored by Justin Brazeau assisted by Ben Kindel and Kris Letang
0-5
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Adin Hill
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Adin Hill
Takeaway by Noah Hanifin in defensive zone
Colton Sissons credited with hit on Ryan Shea in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Shea Theodore
SHOT
Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Arturs Silovs
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Arturs Silovs
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Adin Hill
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Saad saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Ben Kindel shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Arturs Silovs
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
End of 2nd Period.
Giveaway by Colton Sissons in neutral zone
Colton Sissons credited with hit on Kris Letang in offensive zone
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
Golden Knights won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Power play - Tomas Hertl shot blocked by Ryan Shea
Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Golden Knights won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaedan Korczak saved by Arturs Silovs
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Rickard Rakell assisted by Erik Karlsson and Bryan Rust
0-4
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Adin Hill
Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - TV timeout
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Brandon Saad in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Ben Kindel
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Arturs Silovs
Power play - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
SHOT
Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Arturs Silovs
Stoppage - Icing
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
Power play - Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
Penalty to Cole Reinhardt 2 minutes for Misconduct
Giveaway by Kris Letang in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Samuel Girard
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Arturs Silovs
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Adin Hill
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
GOAL
Goal scored by Yegor Chinakhov assisted by Thomas Novak and Justin Brazeau
0-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Adin Hill
Golden Knights won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
Penalty to Mitch Marner 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Erik Karlsson)
SHOT
Shot missed by Shea Theodore
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
Stoppage - Icing
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Saad
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Saad saved by Arturs Silovs
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Adin Hill
Ivan Barbashev won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
SHOT
Ben Kindel shot blocked by Shea Theodore
SHOT
Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
SHOT
Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Arturs Silovs
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
SHOT
Colton Sissons shot blocked by Connor Clifton
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Adin Hill
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Adin Hill
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Reinhardt
SHOT
Avery Hayes shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
SHOT
Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Jack Eichel
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
SHOT
Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Ben Kindel shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Arturs Silovs
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Colton Sissons in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Ivan Barbashev shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
Ivan Barbashev credited with hit on Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden McNabb
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeremy Lauzon saved by Arturs Silovs
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 22 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 65% | Faceoff Win % | 35% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/2 | |||
| 13 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 9 | |||
| 28 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 18 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 23 |
| |
|---|
| 22 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 65% | Faceoff Win % | 35% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/2 | |||
| 13 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 9 | |||
| 28 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 18 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 23 |
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Golden Knights vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Golden Knights vs. Penguins
- Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Golden Knights favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights -148, Penguins +130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Golden Knights: 54%
- Penguins: 46%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 54%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Golden Knights vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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