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Panthers vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Panthers vs. Lightning NHL game on February 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
6
Feb 6, 12:30AM Benchmark International Arena
Feb 6, 12:30AM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Panthers | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Lightning | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Panthers | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Lightning | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
P3 16:06 Power play - Sam Bennett shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 15:53 Shot on goal by Donovan Sebrango saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:41 Goal scored by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 15:20 Shot missed by Jesper Boqvist
P3 14:58 Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:59 Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P3 09:17 Power play - Sandis Vilmanis shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:56 Power play - Uvis Balinskis shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:01 Power play - Shot missed by Eetu Luostarinen
P3 06:49 Power play - Shot on goal by Uvis Balinskis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 06:09 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 05:58 Power play - Shot missed by Dominic James
P3 05:41 Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 05:26 Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 04:38 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:24 Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:50 Jesper Boqvist shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 00:35 Sam Reinhart shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P2 19:21 Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 18:34 Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Giveaway by Uvis Balinskis in neutral zone
Luke Kunin won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
Giveaway by Jesper Boqvist in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Gage Goncalves credited with hit on Sam Bennett in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Sam Bennett shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Power play - Anton Lundell won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Donovan Sebrango saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
GOAL
Goal scored by Oliver Bjorkstrand
1-6
SHOT
Shot missed by Jesper Boqvist
Giveaway by Dominic James in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Takeaway by Ryan McDonagh in neutral zone
Giveaway by Sandis Vilmanis in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
Power play - Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Luke Kunin won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Sandis Vilmanis shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Uvis Balinskis shot blocked by teammate
Power play - Giveaway by Mackie Samoskevich in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Eetu Luostarinen
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Uvis Balinskis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Anton Lundell won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Panthers replaced goalie. (Sergei Bobrovsky)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Daniil Tarasov
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dominic James
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Daniil Tarasov
Stoppage
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Jack Finley won faceoff against Luke Kunin in offensive zone
Penalty to Carter Verhaeghe 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Jake Guentzel)
Penalty to Matthew Tkachuk 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Donovan Sebrango 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to J.J. Moser 2 minutes for Misconduct
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Jesper Boqvist shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Sam Bennett in offensive zone
Giveaway by Sam Bennett in offensive zone
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
SHOT
Sam Reinhart shot blocked by J.J. Moser
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Daniil Tarasov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Daniil Tarasov
GOAL
Goal scored by Erik Cernak assisted by Ryan McDonagh and Dominic James
0-4
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Daniil Tarasov
Giveaway by Dominic James in neutral zone
Dominic James won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Curtis Douglas saved by Daniil Tarasov
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in defensive zone
Penalty to J.J. Moser 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Power play - Mackie Samoskevich shot blocked by teammate
Panthers won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Shorthanded - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Shorthanded - Luke Kunin won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Luke Kunin won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Jack Finley
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Daniil Tarasov
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Niko Mikkola
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Panthers won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Uvis Balinskis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
Panthers won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Donovan Sebrango shot blocked by Scott Sabourin
Jack Finley won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in neutral zone
SHOT
Uvis Balinskis shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
Luke Kunin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Icing
Takeaway by Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Uvis Balinskis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Jack Finley won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Darren Raddysh and Nikita Kucherov
0-3
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Daniil Tarasov
Power play - Jack Finley won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
Jack Finley won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Penalty to Mackie Samoskevich 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Jesper Boqvist 2 minutes for Misconduct
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by Niko Mikkola in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by A.J. Greer
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Sam Bennett
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Anton Lundell won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anton Lundell
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Daniil Tarasov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Daniil Tarasov
Panthers won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Scott Sabourin credited with hit on Jeff Petry in offensive zone
Takeaway by Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sandis Vilmanis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Niko Mikkola shot blocked by Scott Sabourin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Panthers won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Uvis Balinskis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Daniil Tarasov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Niko Mikkola saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Niko Mikkola
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Jack Finley in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Daniil Tarasov
Giveaway by Donovan Sebrango in defensive zone
Mackie Samoskevich credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
Luke Kunin won faceoff against Gage Goncalves in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Jeff Petry shot blocked by teammate
Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 55% | Faceoff Win % | 45% | |||
| 6/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 66 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 81 | |||
| 17 | Hits | 34 | |||
| 5 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 18 |
| |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 55% | Faceoff Win % | 45% | |||
| 6/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 66 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 81 | |||
| 17 | Hits | 34 | |||
| 5 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 18 |
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Panthers vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Panthers vs. Lightning
- Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Panthers +192, Lightning -210
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Panthers: 37%
- Lightning: 63%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Panthers a win probability of 37%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Panthers in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Panthers vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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