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Knicks vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Knicks vs. Warriors NBA game on January 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
113
126
Jan 16, 3AM Chase Center
Jan 16, 3AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Knicks | 35 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 113 |
Warriors | 30 | 32 | 37 | 27 | 126 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Knicks | 35 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 113 |
Warriors | 30 | 32 | 37 | 27 | 126 |
Q4 00:19 Knicks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:01 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:16 OG Anunoby misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Knicks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:27 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:35 Knicks makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:42 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:10 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
113-126
Tyler Kolek defensive rebound
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post)
OG Anunoby misses two point jump shot
OG Anunoby turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
111-124
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
111-122
+3
Knicks makes three point jump shot
111-120
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Knicks turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
108-120
+1
OG Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-117
+1
OG Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-117
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton)
Knicks misses three point jump shot
+3
Knicks makes three point jump shot
104-115
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
101-115
Warriors misses three point jump shot
OG Anunoby misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
OG Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-113
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton)
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
Al Horford offensive rebound
Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns, Josh Hart, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns, Josh Hart, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
Instant replay
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
96-110
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
96-107
Instant replay
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Instant replay
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Knicks personal foul
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
96-102
Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Josh Hart, Jordan Clarkson, Landry Shamet, Miles McBride)
Knicks turnover (shot clock violation)
Knicks personal foul
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-100
Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Jordan Clarkson, Miles McBride, Ariel Hukporti, Mikal Bridges)
Brandin Podziemski turnover (lane violation)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton)
Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Josh Hart, Jordan Clarkson, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
Knicks personal foul
Instant replay
Warriors personal foul
Instant replay
Karl-Anthony Towns misses flagrant free throw 2 of 2
Knicks offensive rebound
Miles McBride defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
Knicks offensive rebound
Jordan Clarkson misses heave shot
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
87-99
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
87-97
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
87-95
Tyler Kolek defensive rebound
Al Horford defensive rebound
Jordan Clarkson misses two point jump shot
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Jimmy Butler III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-92
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
82-91
+3
Knicks makes three point jump shot
82-89
Miles McBride defensive rebound
Warriors turnover
Warriors offensive rebound
Knicks lineup change (Josh Hart, Landry Shamet, Miles McBride, Ariel Hukporti, Mikal Bridges)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
76-89
Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Josh Hart, Landry Shamet, Miles McBride, Ariel Hukporti)
Knicks misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
76-87
OG Anunoby defensive rebound
Knicks personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-81
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Draymond Green)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Knicks personal foul
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-79
Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns, Josh Hart, Landry Shamet, Miles McBride)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Knicks personal foul
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
72-78
Warriors personal foul
+3
Knicks makes three point jump shot
70-78
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
67-78
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
67-72
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
65-72
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
61-62
OG Anunoby defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses heave shot
End of 1st Half.
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Quinten Post)
Draymond Green defensive rebound
+2
Jimmy Butler III makes two point cutting layup (Stephen Curry assists)
59-62
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
+1
Karl-Anthony Towns makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-60
Karl-Anthony Towns misses two point jump shot
Josh Hart shooting foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-58
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-60
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Warriors turnover
Knicks 60 second timeout
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-58
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns, Josh Hart, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
57-57
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
57-57
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Knicks offensive rebound
Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Josh Hart, Tyler Kolek, Ariel Hukporti, Mikal Bridges)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
De'Anthony Melton shooting foul (Jordan Clarkson draws the foul)
Jordan Clarkson offensive rebound
Karl-Anthony Towns misses three point jump shot
+3
Al Horford makes three point jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)
50-50
+2
Jordan Clarkson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Kolek assists)
50-50
Jordan Clarkson misses three point pullup jump shot
Landry Shamet misses three point jump shot
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
44-42
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Jordan Clarkson misses two point jump shot
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Landry Shamet misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green turnover (bad pass) (Landry Shamet steals)
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+1
Jordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-57
OG Anunoby turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Draymond Green makes three point jump shot (Gary Payton II assists)
40-37
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Miles McBride misses two point tip layup
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
OG Anunoby misses two point driving layup
Josh Hart offensive rebound
Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jordan Clarkson, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
Knicks offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jordan Clarkson, Tyler Kolek, Mikal Bridges)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
+2
Jordan Clarkson makes two point fadeaway jump shot
35-28
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler III misses two point tip layup
Knicks turnover (shot clock violation)
De'Anthony Melton blocks Josh Hart's two point turnaround jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
Knicks 60 second timeout
Jimmy Butler III misses three point running pullup jump shot
Miles McBride misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
Knicks lineup change (Guerschon Yabusele, Josh Hart, Jordan Clarkson, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point driving layup
31-19
Guerschon Yabusele misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
OG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Mikal Bridges assists)
31-14
Karl-Anthony Towns turnover (lost ball) (De'Anthony Melton steals)
Knicks lineup change (Guerschon Yabusele, OG Anunoby, Landry Shamet, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
De'Anthony Melton misses two point pullup jump shot
Al Horford personal foul (Karl-Anthony Towns draws the foul)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
46-47
+3
Landry Shamet makes three point running jump shot (Josh Hart assists)
26-11
Karl-Anthony Towns turnover
Karl-Anthony Towns personal foul (Loose ball) (Moses Moody draws the foul)
Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
44-42
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
Knicks defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Josh Hart misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Gui Santos, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green)
Moses Moody shooting foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)
Quinten Post misses three point jump shot
+3
Moses Moody makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)
18-11
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Karl-Anthony Towns makes three point jump shot (Mikal Bridges assists)
18-8
Warriors 60 second timeout
+2
Jimmy Butler III makes two point driving bank jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
13-5
Stephen Curry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+1
Josh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-3
Mikal Bridges defensive rebound
+2
OG Anunoby makes two point driving dunk (Karl-Anthony Towns assists)
8-3
Josh Hart misses three point jump shot
+3
Mikal Bridges makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)
6-3
OG Anunoby misses two point running layup
Draymond Green misses three point running jump shot
Karl-Anthony Towns misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+3
Miles McBride makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)
3-0
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Quinten Post)
Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns, Josh Hart, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Knicks vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Knicks vs. Warriors
- Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5
- Moneyline Odds: Knicks +230, Warriors -260
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Knicks: 28%
- Warriors: 72%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Knicks 111-117 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Knicks a win probability of 28%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 72%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Knicks in the NBA game at Chase Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Knicks vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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