Bets 
NBA first basket picks and predictions for Game 4 of 2026 Finals
NBA
Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Thunder NBA game on May 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
114
127
May 27, 12:30AM Paycom Center
May 27, 12:30AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 27 | 31 | 33 | 21 | 114 |
Thunder | 29 | 40 | 32 | 26 | 127 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 27 | 31 | 33 | 21 | 114 |
Thunder | 29 | 40 | 32 | 26 | 127 |
Q4 00:19 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:21 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:48 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:14 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:23 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:34 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:58 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jordan McLaughlin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-127
+1
Jordan McLaughlin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-127
Nikola Topic offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
112-127
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-125
+1
Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-125
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-124
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Nikola Topic, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-125
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
110-123
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Bismack Biyombo offensive rebound
Spurs turnover
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Mason Plumlee defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-123
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams)
Jared McCain misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
108-122
Spurs personal foul
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-121
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein)
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-122
Spurs violation
Thunder offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Jordan McLaughlin, Bismack Biyombo, Mason Plumlee, Carter Bryant)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
106-120
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
106-118
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
103-118
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
103-115
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
101-115
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
101-112
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
99-112
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-109
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
99-107
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-107
Thunder 60 second timeout
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-107
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
95-107
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren turnover (bad pass)
Spurs personal foul
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-106
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-107
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
93-105
Spurs turnover
Thunder turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
93-103
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-103
Spurs turnover
Jump ball. (Stephon Castle gains possession)
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
Spurs offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-101
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-101
Thunder personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-101
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson)
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs personal foul
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1
88-99
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-100
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-101
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams)
Spurs turnover
Victor Wembanyama turnover
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson)
Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet misses two point tip layup
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-97
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-98
Spurs violation
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
88-96
Spurs personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-96
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
86-95
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Chet Holmgren)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
83-95
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
83-93
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Chet Holmgren)
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Spurs turnover
De'Aaron Fox misses two point floating jump shot
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
81-93
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
81-90
Thunder personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
79-90
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
79-87
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
76-87
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
73-87
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
73-85
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
70-85
Thunder turnover
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
67-85
Thunder personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren)
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
68-85
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
65-85
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
65-82
Thunder violation
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
63-82
Chet Holmgren misses two point layup
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
62-80
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-80
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-80
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
60-78
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-78
Spurs turnover
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
58-76
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-73
Spurs personal foul
Jared McCain misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Spurs personal foul
Julian Champagnie turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-71
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
58-69
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-69
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
56-67
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-66
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-67
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-65
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-65
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-64
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-65
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-62
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-63
Thunder personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-61
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-61
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
50-61
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Julian Champagnie turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
Instant replay
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
Spurs challenge timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-58
Julian Champagnie misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
49-58
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-55
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-56
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
49-54
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
46-54
Jump ball. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
46-52
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
46-49
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-48
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-49
Spurs turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
44-47
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
44-45
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
42-45
Thunder turnover
Spurs personal foul
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-45
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-45
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
39-45
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Jared McCain misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-45
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-45
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
35-45
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes)
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Spurs personal foul
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-42
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-43
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
35-41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
32-41
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-39
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-39
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
30-39
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
30-36
Thunder personal foul
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-33
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
29-33
Spurs turnover
Spurs personal foul
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-30
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-31
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-29
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-29
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes)
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-28
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-29
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
27-27
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
27-24
Thunder turnover
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-23
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-24
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
24-22
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-21
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-22
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-20
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-20
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
20-20
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Luke Kornet)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
20-17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
18-17
Spurs personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
18-15
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson)
Spurs turnover
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
18-13
Dylan Harper misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
16-13
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
16-10
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
16-8
Thunder turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
13-8
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-8
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
11-6
Thunder turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
8-6
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
5-6
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Thunder turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
5-4
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
3-4
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
3-2
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
0-2
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
Chet Holmgren (Julian Champagnie gains possession)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Spurs vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Thunder
- Date: Tuesday, May 26, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 218.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs +141, Thunder -141
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 38%
- Thunder: 62%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 107-111 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 38%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 62%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Spurs in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
