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Bulls vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bulls vs. Warriors NBA game on March 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
130
124
Mar 11, 2AM Chase Center
Mar 11, 2AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bulls | 26 | 31 | 73 | 0 | 130 |
Warriors | 30 | 21 | 73 | 0 | 124 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bulls | 26 | 31 | 73 | 0 | 130 |
Warriors | 30 | 21 | 73 | 0 | 124 |
OT1 00:00 Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:19 Warriors misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:32 Matas Buzelis misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:42 Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:59 Bulls misses three point jump shot
OT1 1:10 Warriors misses three point jump shot
OT1 1:23 Tre Jones makes two point driving layup
OT1 1:42 Warriors makes three point jump shot
OT1 1:45 Al Horford misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:58 Josh Giddey makes two point driving layup
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
End of 1st OT.
Warriors offensive rebound
Al Horford defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Josh Giddey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-124
Josh Giddey misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Gui Santos personal foul (Josh Giddey draws the foul)
Jalen Smith defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Matas Buzelis misses three point jump shot
Leonard Miller defensive rebound
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Bulls misses three point jump shot
Matas Buzelis defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Tre Jones makes two point driving layup
129-124
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
129-124
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Al Horford misses two point jump shot
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point driving layup
129-124
Matas Buzelis defensive rebound
Will Richard misses three point jump shot
+3
Bulls makes three point jump shot
129-124
Tre Jones misses two point jump shot
Bulls offensive rebound
Bulls lineup change (Josh Giddey, Jalen Smith, Tre Jones, Matas Buzelis, Leonard Miller)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Bulls misses three point jump shot
Nick Richards defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Tre Jones turnover (lost ball) (Al Horford steals)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
129-124
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Al Horford)
+2
Tre Jones makes two point driving layup
129-124
Tre Jones defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Bulls makes two point jump shot
130-124
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis)
(Jalen Smith gains possession)
End of 4th Quarter.
Draymond Green personal foul
+1
Jalen Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-124
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis, Al Horford)
+1
Jalen Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-124
Bulls lineup change (Josh Giddey, Jalen Smith, Nick Richards, Tre Jones, Matas Buzelis)
LJ Cryer misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, LJ Cryer)
+1
LJ Cryer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-124
Bulls personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, LJ Cryer)
Bulls 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, Al Horford)
Bulls lineup change (Josh Giddey, Jalen Smith, Nick Richards, Matas Buzelis, Leonard Miller)
Warriors personal foul
Bulls personal foul
+1
LJ Cryer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-124
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, Malevy Leons, LJ Cryer)
Bulls lineup change (Josh Giddey, Jalen Smith, Nick Richards, Matas Buzelis, Leonard Miller)
+1
LJ Cryer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-124
Bulls lineup change (Josh Giddey, Jalen Smith, Tre Jones, Matas Buzelis, Leonard Miller)
+1
Jalen Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-124
+1
Jalen Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-124
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Al Horford, LJ Cryer)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Kristaps Porzingis, Al Horford, LJ Cryer)
Warriors 60 second timeout
+2
Leonard Miller makes two point driving layup (Josh Giddey assists)
111-115
Will Richard turnover (lost ball) (Tre Jones steals)
Al Horford shooting foul (Matas Buzelis draws the foul)
Matas Buzelis misses regular free throw 2 of 3
+1
Matas Buzelis makes regular free throw 3 of 3
112-115
+1
Matas Buzelis makes regular free throw 1 of 3
111-115
Bulls offensive rebound
Bulls misses three point jump shot
Tre Jones defensive rebound
Al Horford misses two point tip layup
Al Horford misses two point tip layup
Al Horford offensive rebound
Al Horford offensive rebound
Gui Santos misses two point driving layup
+3
Bulls makes three point jump shot
130-124
+3
Pat Spencer makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)
130-124
Al Horford defensive rebound
Bulls misses three point jump shot
+2
Gui Santos makes two point jump shot (Gary Payton II assists)
130-124
Gui Santos shooting foul (Matas Buzelis draws the foul)
+1
Matas Buzelis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-124
+1
Matas Buzelis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-124
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Bulls personal foul
Bulls 60 second timeout
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Bulls misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
130-124
Bulls turnover
+2
Pat Spencer makes two point driving floating jump shot
110-115
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Matas Buzelis misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Gui Santos makes two point driving bank jump shot (Al Horford assists)
130-124
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Al Horford)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bulls lineup change (Josh Giddey, Jalen Smith, Tre Jones, Matas Buzelis, Leonard Miller)
Bulls turnover
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Josh Giddey misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
130-124
Bulls turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
130-124
Al Horford defensive rebound
Bulls misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+2
Bulls makes two point jump shot
130-124
Bulls personal foul
+1
LJ Cryer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-124
+1
LJ Cryer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-124
Bulls lineup change (Josh Giddey, Nick Richards, Tre Jones, Matas Buzelis, Guerschon Yabusele)
Bulls turnover
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
130-124
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Bulls turnover
Gary Payton II personal foul (Matas Buzelis draws the foul)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, LJ Cryer)
+2
Pat Spencer makes two point driving layup (Gary Payton II assists)
110-115
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
Tre Jones offensive rebound
Bulls misses two point jump shot
Rob Dillingham misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
130-124
+3
Matas Buzelis makes three point jump shot (Rob Dillingham assists)
111-115
Rob Dillingham defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Leonard Miller makes two point running reverse layup (Josh Giddey assists)
111-115
Bulls lineup change (Rob Dillingham, Nick Richards, Tre Jones, Matas Buzelis, Guerschon Yabusele)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, LJ Cryer)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Josh Giddey misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Jalen Smith defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Rob Dillingham misses two point jump shot
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-86
Josh Giddey shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-124
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Josh Giddey misses three point jump shot
Matas Buzelis offensive rebound
Bulls misses three point jump shot
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point driving floating jump shot
94-86
Jalen Smith personal foul (Will Richard draws the foul)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
130-124
+1
Will Richard makes regular free throw 1 of 1
130-124
+2
Bulls makes two point jump shot
130-124
Warriors turnover
+2
Leonard Miller makes two point alley-oop layup (Rob Dillingham assists)
94-86
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Matas Buzelis blocks Gui Santos's two point jump shot
+3
Bulls makes three point jump shot
130-124
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
130-124
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Instant replay (Request)
Josh Giddey misses two point driving hook shot
Josh Giddey offensive rebound
+2
Bulls makes two point jump shot
130-124
End of 3rd Quarter.
Bulls lineup change (Rob Dillingham, Josh Giddey, Jalen Smith, Matas Buzelis, Leonard Miller)
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Kristaps Porzingis)
Bulls 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Malevy Leons)
Leonard Miller defensive rebound
Will Richard offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Will Richard misses two point tip layup
Will Richard offensive rebound
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Leonard Miller makes two point jump shot
111-115
Al Horford violation
Leonard Miller offensive rebound
Bulls misses two point jump shot
Leonard Miller offensive rebound
Bulls misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
111-115
+2
Rob Dillingham makes two point jump shot
111-115
Leonard Miller defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Leonard Miller makes two point putback layup
111-115
Leonard Miller offensive rebound
Rob Dillingham misses two point tip layup
Rob Dillingham offensive rebound
Bulls misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
Bulls lineup change (Rob Dillingham, Josh Giddey, Tre Jones, Matas Buzelis, Leonard Miller)
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Will Richard, Al Horford, Malevy Leons)
Warriors personal foul
+2
Tre Jones makes two point driving floating jump shot (Matas Buzelis assists)
111-115
Nick Richards defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Gary Payton II personal foul (Nick Richards draws the foul)
+1
Nick Richards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-124
+1
Nick Richards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-124
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
130-124
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Bulls makes two point jump shot
130-124
Jalen Smith offensive rebound
Bulls misses three point jump shot
Nick Richards offensive rebound
Matas Buzelis misses three point jump shot
Tre Jones defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bulls misses three point jump shot
Bulls 60 second timeout
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
130-124
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Bulls misses two point jump shot
+3
LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)
87-83
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Matas Buzelis misses three point jump shot
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot
87-83
Bulls personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
130-124
Warriors defensive rebound
Bulls misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bulls lineup change (Rob Dillingham, Jalen Smith, Nick Richards, Tre Jones, Matas Buzelis)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
130-124
Bulls personal foul
Bulls lineup change (Rob Dillingham, Jalen Smith, Nick Richards, Tre Jones, Leonard Miller)
+1
LJ Cryer makes regular free throw 1 of 1
130-124
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Nick Richards offensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Nick Richards draws the foul)
+2
Bulls makes two point jump shot
130-124
Nick Richards misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Kristaps Porzingis blocks Tre Jones's two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
111-115
Josh Giddey turnover (Gary Payton II steals)
Bulls lineup change (Josh Giddey, Jalen Smith, Nick Richards, Tre Jones, Leonard Miller)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
129-124
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Bulls 60 second timeout
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Bulls misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis, LJ Cryer)
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point tip layup
130-124
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Bulls misses three point jump shot
Leonard Miller defensive rebound
Gary Payton II misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Guerschon Yabusele makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-124
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis, LJ Cryer)
+1
Guerschon Yabusele makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-124
Warriors turnover
Bulls personal foul
Nick Richards turnover (offensive foul)
Kristaps Porzingis personal foul
Bulls offensive rebound
Bulls misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Will Richard personal foul (Josh Giddey draws the foul)
Warriors personal foul
+2
Bulls makes two point jump shot
130-124
Bulls lineup change (Josh Giddey, Nick Richards, Tre Jones, Guerschon Yabusele, Leonard Miller)
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis, LJ Cryer)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
71-61
Al Horford offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Bulls makes two point jump shot
130-124
Jalen Smith defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Bulls misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
87-83
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Bulls misses three point jump shot
Leonard Miller defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Matas Buzelis makes two point cutting layup (Josh Giddey assists)
130-124
Warriors 60 second timeout
Matas Buzelis defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Bulls personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Al Horford, LJ Cryer)
+2
Bulls makes two point jump shot
130-124
Jalen Smith offensive rebound
Bulls misses three point jump shot
+3
Will Richard makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
87-83
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Bulls misses three point jump shot
Gui Santos turnover
+3
Bulls makes three point jump shot
130-124
+2
Gui Santos makes two point jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
130-124
+3
Bulls makes three point jump shot
130-124
Warriors turnover
+2
Bulls makes two point jump shot
130-124
End of 1st Half.
Warriors offensive rebound
Bulls lineup change (Josh Giddey, Jalen Smith, Matas Buzelis, Guerschon Yabusele, Leonard Miller)
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Al Horford)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
130-124
Guerschon Yabusele defensive rebound
Gary Payton II misses two point jump shot
Bulls lineup change (Rob Dillingham, Nick Richards, Tre Jones, Matas Buzelis, Guerschon Yabusele)
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis, LJ Cryer)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 30 | T. Jones | 22 | 4 | 5 |
| G | 14 | M. Buzelis | 41 | 6 | 2 |
| F | 11 | L. Miller | 17 | 11 | 1 |
| G | 3 | J. Giddey | 21 | 13 | 17 |
| F | 25 | J. Smith | 12 | 12 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 23 | D. Green | 12 | 7 | 4 |
| C | 20 | A. Horford | 13 | 9 | 5 |
| G | 61 | P. Spencer | 17 | 3 | 6 |
| F | 15 | G. Santos | 17 | 5 | 1 |
| G | 3 | W. Richard | 8 | 4 | 1 |
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Bulls vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Bulls vs. Warriors
- Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 226.5
- Moneyline Odds: Bulls +195, Warriors -215
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Bulls: 32%
- Warriors: 68%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bulls 111-116 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bulls a win probability of 32%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 68%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Bulls in the NBA game at Chase Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Bulls vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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