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Cavaliers vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cavaliers vs. Thunder NBA game on February 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
113
121
Feb 22, 6PM Paycom Center
Feb 22, 6PM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cavaliers | 25 | 30 | 31 | 27 | 113 |
Thunder | 40 | 24 | 25 | 32 | 121 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cavaliers | 25 | 30 | 31 | 27 | 113 |
Thunder | 40 | 24 | 25 | 32 | 121 |
Q4 00:03 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:13 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:22 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:55 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:18 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:38 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
James Harden defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-121
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-120
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-119
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis)
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Isaiah Joe turnover (offensive foul)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Cavaliers challenge timeout
Thunder 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
113-118
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
110-118
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
110-116
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
108-116
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
108-114
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
106-114
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
104-114
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-112
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
103-112
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
103-109
Thunder personal foul
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
101-109
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nae'Qwan Tomlin offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
101-106
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
98-106
Cavaliers personal foul
James Harden turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
98-104
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Keon Ellis, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
98-102
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
95-102
Thunder personal foul
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-99
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-99
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
93-99
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
93-97
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
91-97
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Cavaliers lineup change (Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Nikola Topic offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
91-94
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-94
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
88-92
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
86-92
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
End of 3rd Quarter.
Kenny Atkinson technical foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Nikola Topic)
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes technical free throw 1 of 1
86-90
Kenny Atkinson technical foul
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-89
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Cavaliers personal foul
Kenrich Williams technical foul (Double)
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
86-88
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
86-86
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
83-86
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
83-84
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-84
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-84
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
79-84
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-83
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-84
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
77-82
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
75-82
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis)
Cavaliers turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, Jaylon Tyson, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
75-79
Thunder personal foul
James Harden misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace)
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, Keon Ellis, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-77
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
74-77
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
James Harden defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
74-74
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-74
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-71
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-72
Cavaliers turnover
Thunder personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace)
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
71-70
James Harden defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
69-70
Cavaliers personal foul
Instant replay
Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
69-68
Cavaliers personal foul
Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-68
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
67-67
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
65-67
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
63-67
James Harden defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
61-67
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
58-67
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
58-64
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
55-64
Instant replay
End of 1st Half.
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
53-64
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
53-61
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-61
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-61
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
48-61
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-58
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-58
Thunder turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
46-58
Thunder violation
Thunder personal foul
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot
44-58
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
44-55
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-54
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-55
Cavaliers turnover
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Nae'Qwan Tomlin offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
42-53
Sam Merrill offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
James Harden offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-52
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Keon Ellis, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-53
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
40-51
Keon Ellis defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
38-53
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
38-51
Thunder turnover
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
36-51
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
33-51
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
33-48
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace)
Thunder turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
31-48
Thunder personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Nikola Topic)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
29-48
Cavaliers personal foul
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
29-45
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
27-45
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
27-43
Keon Ellis defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
25-43
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder turnover
Nikola Topic defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
25-40
Instant replay
End of 1st Quarter.
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Nikola Topic)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
23-40
Cavaliers personal foul
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Nikola Topic)
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-38
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley)
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-38
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jaylon Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-38
+1
Jaylon Tyson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-38
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
19-38
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
19-35
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Nikola Topic)
Thunder turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
17-35
Dean Wade defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
15-35
Cavaliers personal foul
Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
15-33
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
13-33
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
13-30
Thunder personal foul
Donovan Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
11-28
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
8-28
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
5-28
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
5-25
Cavaliers turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
5-22
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder turnover
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Thunder personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
5-19
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Jaylon Tyson, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
Cavaliers turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
5-17
Cavaliers turnover
Thunder personal foul
Dean Wade offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-14
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-15
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
5-13
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-13
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-11
Cavaliers turnover
Thunder turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
2-9
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
0-9
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
0-6
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
James Harden turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder turnover
Cavaliers turnover
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
0-3
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
Start of 1st Quarter
Jarrett Allen (James Harden gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 1 | J. Harden | 20 | 5 | 9 |
| F | 4 | E. Mobley | 15 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 14 | K. Ellis | 9 | 1 | 3 |
| G | 5 | S. Merrill | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 45 | D. Mitchell | 20 | 7 | 5 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 7 | C. Holmgren | 17 | 15 | 4 |
| G | 22 | C. Wallace | 20 | 4 | 10 |
| G | 21 | A. Wiggins | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| F | 5 | L. Dort | 12 | 3 | 2 |
| G-F | 34 | K. Williams | 8 | 2 | 1 |
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Cavaliers vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Cavaliers vs. Thunder
- Date: Sunday, February 22, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -8.5
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5
- Moneyline Odds: Cavaliers +1300, Thunder +152
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Cavaliers: 63%
- Thunder: 37%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Cavaliers 116-112 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cavaliers a win probability of 63%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 37%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Cavaliers vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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