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MLS
Philadelphia vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. Toronto MLS match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
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Apr 22, 7:30 PM ET BMO Field
Apr 22, 7:30 PM ET BMO Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
J. Sargent (56')
K. Franklin (64')
L. Gavran (90')
M. Iloski (45')
D. Jean Jacques (53')
N. Harriel (89')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Toronto
- Philadelphia
Win Probability
Match Timeline
A. Bedoya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Goal scored for Toronto FC by L. Gavran, assisted by A. Coello
3-3
(Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by N. Harriel, assisted by A. Bedoya
3-2
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Jakupovic replaces J. Lukic
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Sullivan replaces M. Iloski
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces B. Damiani
O. Makhanya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Stefanovic replaces W. Zimmerman
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces I. Vassilev
D. Jean Jacques (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Goal scored for Toronto FC by K. Franklin, assisted by J. Cifuentes
2-2
J. Sery Larsen (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Goal scored for Toronto FC by J. Sargent, assisted by D. Salloi
2-1
Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Henry replaces D. Kerr
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Jean Jacques
2-0
R. Laryea (Toronto FC) cautioned
A. Coello (Toronto FC) cautioned
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski, assisted by J. Lukic
1-0
D. Salloi (Toronto FC) cautioned
J. Osorio (Toronto FC) cautioned
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Philadelphia vs. Toronto: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Philadelphia vs. Toronto
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: BMO Field
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Philadelphia +155, Toronto +200, draw +240
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-112)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Philadelphia: 36.7%
- Toronto: 37.2%
- Draw: 26.1%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Philadelphia 1-1 Toronto (12.4%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Philadelphia vs. Toronto? Prediction & correct score
Toronto is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.2%.
The most likely correct score is Philadelphia 1-1 Toronto.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Philadelphia vs. Toronto, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
