Houston vs. Austin Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. Austin MLS match on April 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Houston
0
2
Q2 Stadium
Austin
Q2 Stadium
AustinAUS
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
J. Nelson (13')
Soccer ball icon
M. Uzuni (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Austin
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Houston
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: B. Sabovic replaces F. Torres
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: J. Bell replaces Guilherme Biro
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Aliyu replaces Felipe Andrade
  4. 80'
    Yellow Card
    L. Ennali (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  5. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich replaces H. Herrera
  6. 72'
    Yellow Card
    F. Torres (Austin FC) cautioned
  7. 70'
    Yellow Card
    M. Desler (Austin FC) cautioned
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: C. Fodrey replaces C. Ramirez
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: N. Dubersarsky replaces I. Sanchez
  10. 59'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rosales (Austin FC) cautioned
  11. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: J. McGlynn replaces S. Vines
  12. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Samassekou replaces Artur
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Antonio Carlos replaces A. Resch
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    Artur (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  15. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Austin FC by M. Uzuni, assisted by J. Rosales
    0-2
  16. 40'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: J. Gallagher replaces J. Nelson
  17. 27'
    Yellow Card
    B. Hines-Ike (Austin FC) cautioned
  18. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Austin FC by J. Nelson, assisted by F. Torres
    0-1

Houston vs. Austin: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Austin
  • Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Q2 Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +165, Austin +175, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Houston: 33.8%
  • Austin: 40.8%
  • Draw: 25.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Houston 1-1 Austin (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Houston vs. Austin? Prediction & correct score

Austin is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.8%.

The most likely correct score is Houston 1-1 Austin.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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