Sporting KC vs. Salt Lake Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sporting KC vs. Salt Lake MLS match on April 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Sporting KC
1
3
Apr 4, 4:30 PM ET America First Field
Salt Lake
Apr 4, 4:30 PM ET America First Field
Salt LakeRSL
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
D. Luna (4')
Soccer ball icon
S. Solans (55')
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Z. Gozo (82')
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D. Joveljic (60')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Salt Lake
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Sporting KC
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Salt Lake: J. Barea replaces Z. Gozo
88'
Yellow Card
M. Guilavogui (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Salt Lake: G. Dillon replaces S. Spierings
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Salt Lake: D. Marczuk replaces D. Luna
82'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by Z. Gozo, assisted by N. Caliskan
1-3
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces C. Harris
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Salt Lake: V. Olatunji replaces S. Solans
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Salt Lake: S. Junqua replaces A. Katranis
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Bartlett replaces J. Reynolds
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: Z. Bassong replaces I. James
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic, assisted by J. Reynolds
1-2
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by S. Solans, assisted by Z. Gozo
0-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: Diego Borges replaces E. Bartlow
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by D. Luna, assisted by N. Caliskan
0-1

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Sporting KC vs. Salt Lake: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. Salt Lake
  • Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: America First Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sporting KC +900, Salt Lake -333, draw +525
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-300/+240)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 12.7%
  • Salt Lake: 70.8%
  • Draw: 16.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sporting KC 0-2 Salt Lake (9.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Sporting KC vs. Salt Lake? Prediction & correct score

Salt Lake is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 70.8%.

The most likely correct score is Sporting KC 0-2 Salt Lake.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Sporting KC vs. Salt Lake, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.