Colorado vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Colorado vs. Toronto MLS match on April 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Colorado
2
3
BMO Field
Toronto
BMO Field
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
ColoradoCOL
R. Edwards (49')
Red Card icon
R. Laryea (65')
Soccer ball icon
Z. Steffen (o.g.) (77')
Soccer ball icon
J. Sargent (85')
Soccer ball icon
J. Travis (35')
Red Card icon
P. Aaronson (51')
Soccer ball icon
K. Rosenberry (54')
Soccer ball icon
M. Navarro (74')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Toronto
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Colorado
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: E. Aristizabal replaces J. Sargent
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    H. Ojediran (Colorado Rapids) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Yellow Card
    N. Cobb (Colorado Rapids) cautioned
  4. 86'
    Yellow Card
    R. Laryea (Toronto FC) cautioned
  5. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by J. Sargent, assisted by A. Coello
    2-3
  6. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Colorado Rapids: I. Murphy replaces A. Manyoma
  7. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Colorado Rapids: N. Cobb replaces P. Aaronson
  8. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Colorado Rapids: D. Yapi replaces Rafael Navarro
  9. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by Z. Steffen (o.g.)
    2-2
  10. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Colorado Rapids: A. Manyoma replaces J. Atencio
  11. 74'
    Red Card
    M. Navarro (Colorado Rapids) sent off for a second yellow card
  12. 73'
    Yellow Card
    J. Atencio (Colorado Rapids) cautioned
  13. 69'
    Yellow Card
    Z. Monlouis (Toronto FC) cautioned
  14. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by R. Laryea, assisted by J. Sargent
    2-1
  15. 64'
    Yellow Card
    M. Navarro (Colorado Rapids) cautioned
  16. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: Z. Monlouis replaces W. Zimmerman
  17. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by K. Rosenberry
    2-0
  18. 52'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: Matheus Pereira replaces D. Kerr
  19. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by P. Aaronson
    1-0
  20. 49'
    Red Card
    R. Edwards (Toronto FC) sent off with a straight red card
  21. 41'
    Yellow Card
    W. Zimmerman (Toronto FC) cautioned
  22. 38'
    Yellow Card
    M. Wells (Colorado Rapids) cautioned
  23. 36'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Colorado Rapids: K. Rosenberry replaces D. Sealy
  24. 35'
    Red Card
    J. Travis (Colorado Rapids) sent off with a straight red card

Colorado vs. Toronto: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Colorado vs. Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Colorado +260, Toronto +105, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-124/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Colorado: 33.2%
  • Toronto: 41.4%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Colorado 1-1 Toronto (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Colorado vs. Toronto? Prediction & correct score

Toronto is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.4%.

The most likely correct score is Colorado 1-1 Toronto.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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