St Louis City vs. Portland Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. Portland MLS match on September 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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St Louis City
2
:
2
Providence Park
Portland
Providence Park
PortlandPOR
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
K. Velde (32')
Soccer ball icon
K. Velde (89')
Soccer ball icon
Rafael Navarro (1')
Soccer ball icon
Rafael Navarro (51')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Portland
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • St Louis City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: G. Guerra replaces V. Janssen
  2. 89'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Velde, assisted by C. Bassett
    2-2
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: D. Downs replaces Rafael Navarro
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: I. Smith replaces K. Miller
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: O. Fernandez replaces J. Ortiz
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Joyner replaces Rafael Santos
  7. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Holse replaces A. Matan
  8. 67'
    Yellow Card
    Rafael Navarro (St. Louis City) cautioned
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: F. Fall replaces D. Polvara
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces S. Jeong
  11. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: R. Hernandez replaces E. Miller
  12. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: Antony replaces A. Lassiter
  13. 58'
    Yellow Card
    E. Miller (Portland Timbers) cautioned
  14. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by Rafael Navarro
    2-1
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: L. MacNaughton replaces J. Orozco
  16. 45'
    Yellow Card
    T. Totland (St. Louis City) cautioned
  17. 36'
    Yellow Card
    J. Orozco (St. Louis City) cautioned
  18. 32'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Velde
    1-1
  19. 31'
    Yellow Card
    D. Polvara (St. Louis City) cautioned
  20. 18'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: D. Chara replaces D. Da Costa
  21. 1'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by Rafael Navarro
    1-0

St Louis City vs. Portland: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Portland
  • Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Providence Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City 37¢, Portland 40¢, draw 25¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (68¢/32¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 34.5%
  • Portland: 43.4%
  • Draw: 22.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-1 Portland (9.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win St Louis City vs. Portland? Prediction & correct score

Portland is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.4%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-1 Portland.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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