Chicago vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chicago vs. Houston MLS match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
MLS
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLS sport icon
MLS
Chicago
1
2
Feb 21, 8:30 PM ET Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Feb 21, 8:30 PM ET Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
Guilherme (67')
Soccer ball icon
Guilherme (78')
Soccer ball icon
H. Cuypers (31')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Chicago
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich replaces L. Ennali
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: S. Oregel replaces D. D'Avilla
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces M. Mbokazi
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Samassekou replaces J. McGlynn
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Negri replaces Guilherme
85'
Yellow Card
E. Sviatchenko (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
C. Mueller (Chicago Fire) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces D. Holmes
78'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme
1-2
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: C. Mueller replaces R. Lod
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: C. Cupps replaces S. Rogers
75'
Yellow Card
Lucas Halter (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
67'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme
1-1
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers
1-0
26'
Yellow Card
J. Waterman (Chicago Fire) cautioned
13'
Yellow Card
D. Holmes (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

Featured offers

Swipe iconSwipe across to view more offers
logo
RECOMMENDED
Deposit $20, Get $50 in Trading Bonus!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
FEATURED
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
Bet $10 Get $150 in Bonus Bets
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW
Trade $10, Get $20 with Code DIMERS
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get $350 in Bonus Bets Guaranteed - When You Bet $5 for 7 Days!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
LIMITED-TIME
Register with code DIMERS150 to unlock $150 in bonus bets by winning your first $10 bet
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Double Your Winnings on your Next 10 Wagers. Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Code DIMERS: Trade $10, Get $10
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get Up To $250 Back in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Loses
T&Cs apply.
How to claim

Chicago vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +200, Houston +135, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Chicago: 34.3%
  • Houston: 42.2%
  • Draw: 23.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Chicago 1-1 Houston (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with a free 3-day trial—cancel anytime.

Who will win Chicago vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.2%.

The most likely correct score is Chicago 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Chicago vs. Houston, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.