D.C. United vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the D.C. United vs. NY City MLS match on May 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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D.C. United
2
0
Yankee Stadium
NY City
Yankee Stadium
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
D.C. UnitedDC
L. Munteanu (29')
Soccer ball icon
L. Munteanu (pen.) (75')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY City
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • D.C. United
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Murrell (DC United) cautioned
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: C. Antley replaces Peglow
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces Raul Gustavo
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: S. Reid replaces A. Ojeda
  5. 80'
    Yellow Card
    N. Mercau (New York City) cautioned
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Murrell replaces L. Munteanu
  7. 75'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by L. Munteanu (pen.)
    2-0
  8. 70'
    Yellow Card
    Peglow (DC United) cautioned
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: K. Parks replaces S. Tanasijevic
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: H. Wolf replaces M. Jones
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: A. Herrera replaces J. Stroud
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: N. Markovic replaces J. Hopkins
  13. 45'
    Yellow Card
    S. Hefti (DC United) cautioned
  14. 36'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: A. Perea replaces A. O'Neill
  15. 29'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by L. Munteanu
    1-0
  16. 26'
    Yellow Card
    K. Kurokawa (DC United) cautioned

D.C. United vs. NY City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: D.C. United vs. NY City
  • Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: D.C. United +370, NY City -118, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • D.C. United: 16.0%
  • NY City: 63.9%
  • Draw: 20.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: D.C. United 0-2 NY City (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win D.C. United vs. NY City? Prediction & correct score

NY City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.9%.

The most likely correct score is D.C. United 0-2 NY City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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