Orlando vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Orlando vs. Montreal at the MLS on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
Orlando
0
2
May 9, 8:30PM Saputo Stadium
Montreal
May 9, 8:30PM Saputo Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MontrealMTL
Score Summary
OrlandoORL
D. Rios (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
D. Thorhallsson (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MTL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ORL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for CF Montreal by D. Rios (pen.)
0-1
90'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Thorhallsson replaces W. Carmona
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: Tiago replaces A. Gomez
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: Z. Taifi replaces G. Dorsey
90'
Yellow Card
Iago Teodoro (Orlando City) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for CF Montreal by D. Thorhallsson, assisted by V. Loturi
0-2
86'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces P. Owusu
86'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: O. Escobar replaces S. Piette
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: D. Brekalo replaces J. Ellis
79'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: N. Streit replaces Ivan Jaime
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: D. McGuire replaces T. Spicer
62'
Yellow Card
E. Atuesta (Orlando City) cautioned

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Orlando vs. Montreal: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Orlando vs. Montreal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Orlando vs. Montreal
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Saputo Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Orlando +250, Montreal +100, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-163/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Orlando: 31.7%
  • Montreal: 45.5%
  • Draw: 22.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Orlando 1-1 Montreal, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Orlando is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 31.7% probability, while Montreal sits at 45.5%, with the draw at 22.8%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Orlando vs. Montreal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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