Cincinnati vs. Charlotte Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Cincinnati vs. Charlotte at the MLS on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Cincinnati
2
:
2
May 9, 11:30PM Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte
May 9, 11:30PM Bank of America Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
CharlotteCHA
Score Summary
CincinnatiCIN
I. Toklomati (51')
Soccer ball icon
P. Biel (52')
Soccer ball icon
K. Denkey (36')
Soccer ball icon
Evander (43')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CHA
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
CIN
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
O. Nwobodo (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Barlow replaces K. Mboma
87'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Lajhar replaces B. J. Ramirez Leon
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Charlotte: A. Goodwin replaces I. Toklomati
78'
Yellow Card
Evander (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Charlotte: L. Abada replaces K. A. Calderon Vargas
74'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: O. Nwobodo replaces S. Gidi
73'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: E. Echenique replaces G. Valenzuela
62'
Yellow Card
S. Gidi (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: M. Robinson replaces M. Miazga
54'
Yellow Card
A. Westwood (Charlotte) cautioned
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Charlotte by P. Biel, assisted by D. Diani
2-2
51'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Charlotte by I. Toklomati, assisted by T. Ream
2-1
43'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander, assisted by P. Bucha
2-0
36'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey
1-0
26'
Yellow Card
G. Valenzuela (FC Cincinnati) cautioned

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Cincinnati vs. Charlotte: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Cincinnati vs. Charlotte prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Cincinnati vs. Charlotte
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Bank of America Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cincinnati +210, Charlotte +125, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-211/+160)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Cincinnati: 25.8%
  • Charlotte: 53.1%
  • Draw: 21.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Cincinnati 1-2 Charlotte, with a probability of 9%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Cincinnati is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.8% probability, while Charlotte sits at 53.1%, with the draw at 21.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Cincinnati vs. Charlotte prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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