D-Backs vs. Rays Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D-Backs vs. Rays MLB game on June 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLB sport icon
MLB
D-Backs
Merrill Kelly 5-7, 5.71 ERA
1
5
Tropicana Field
Rays
Drew Rasmussen 6-4, 2.62 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 5 0
Rays
1 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 X 5 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    0%
  • Rays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ildemaro Vargas pops out to shallow infield to Ben Williamson.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Marte DH3111100.3331.833
2 G. Perdomo SS3010011.3330.833
3 C. Carroll RF4000001.0000.000
4 G. Moreno C1000001.0000.000
5 L. Gurriel LF3010001.3330.833
6 P. Smith 1B4010000.2500.750
7 N. Arenado 3B4000003.0000.000
8 I. Vargas 2B4000001.0000.000
9 T. Troy CF3000001.0000.000
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Palacios DH1000000.0000.000
2 J. Aranda 1B3000010.0000.250
3 J. Caminero 3B31321101.0003.000
4 V. Mesa RF4010002.2500.500
5 C. Simpson LF4010000.2500.750
6 C. Mullins CF4111101.2501.250
7 B. Williamson 2B4111101.2501.250
8 T. Walls SS3110000.3330.666
9 N. Fortes C3010001.3330.666

D-Backs vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: D-Backs vs. Rays
  • Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
  • Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rays favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: D-Backs 36¢, Rays 64¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • D-Backs: 40%
  • Rays: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the D-Backs a win probability of 40%, while the Rays have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our D-Backs vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.