Mariners vs. Guardians Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mariners vs. Guardians MLB game on June 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mariners
Emerson Hancock 5-4, 3.60 ERA
5
6
Progressive Field
Guardians
Gavin Williams 9-4, 3.82 ERA
Progressive Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mariners
0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 5 13 1
Guardians
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 X 6 12 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mariners
    0%
  • Guardians
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
J.P. Crawford grounds out to shortstop, Brayan Rocchio to Rhys Hoskins.
Quick Box Score
Mariners Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Crawford 3B6020001.3330.666
2 J. Rodríguez CF4121012.5001.100
3 J. Naylor 1B4121000.5001.350
4 R. Arozarena LF5000001.0000.000
5 C. Raleigh DH3110020.3330.933
6 C. Young 2B5120000.4000.800
7 C. Emerson SS5010001.2000.400
8 D. Canzone PH1000001.0000.000
9 V. Robles RF5120001.4000.800
Guardians Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 S. Kwan CF4110010.2500.650
2 T. Bazzana 2B3001011.0000.200
3 C. DeLauter DH5122001.4000.800
4 R. Hoskins 1B20220001.0002.500
5 D. Fry RF1000010.0000.500
6 B. Rocchio SS4110010.2500.650
7 C. Ingle LF2100022.0000.500
8 D. Schneemann 3B21210001.0002.500
9 P. Bailey C1000001.0000.000

Mariners vs. Guardians: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mariners vs. Guardians
  • Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
  • Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Progressive Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Guardians favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mariners 46¢, Guardians 53¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mariners: 53%
  • Guardians: 47%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mariners a win probability of 53%, while the Guardians have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mariners are more likely to beat the Guardians in the MLB game at Progressive Field on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mariners vs. Guardians predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.