Reds vs. Guardians Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Guardians MLB game on May 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLB sport icon
MLB
Reds
Brady Singer 2-3, 5.79 ERA
3
10
Progressive Field
Guardians
Gavin Williams 5-3, 3.74 ERA
Progressive Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Reds
0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 3 11 0
Guardians
2 0 2 1 1 0 2 2 X 10 12 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    0%
  • Guardians
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Elly De La Cruz flies out to deep left field to Steven Kwan.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Myers CF2011001.5001.000
2 E. De La Cruz SS5121102.4001.600
3 J. Bleday LF4000001.0000.000
4 S. Steer 1B4120001.5001.000
5 S. Stewart 3B3020010.6671.417
6 N. Lowe DH4021000.5001.250
7 T. Stephenson C4000002.0000.000
8 B. Dunn RF2110001.5001.000
9 M. McLain 2B3010010.3331.167
Guardians Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Schneemann 3B5000003.0000.000
2 J. Ramírez DH3212121.3331.933
3 P. Halpin CF0000000.0000.000
4 K. Manzardo 1B5223202.4002.000
5 T. Bazzana 2B4030000.7501.500
6 S. Kwan LF2100021.0000.500
7 A. Martínez RF4112101.2501.250
8 P. Bailey C4010000.2500.750
9 B. Rocchio SS3221100.6672.417

Reds vs. Guardians: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Reds vs. Guardians
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Progressive Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Guardians favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Reds 41¢, Guardians 59¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Reds: 43%
  • Guardians: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 43%, while the Guardians have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Guardians are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Progressive Field on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Guardians predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.