Red Sox vs. Braves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Braves MLB game on May 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLB sport icon
MLB
Red Sox
Brayan Bello 2-4, 6.46 ERA
1
8
Truist Park
Braves
Grant Holmes 2-1, 4.36 ERA
Truist Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 9 0
Braves
3 2 0 1 1 0 0 1 X 8 8 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    0%
  • Braves
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jarren Duran strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Duran LF5020002.4001.000
2 M. Gasper DH4000002.0000.000
3 W. Abreu RF4000000.0000.000
4 I. Kiner-Falefa 1B10100001.0003.000
5 C. Rafaela CF3010010.3330.833
6 M. Mayer 2B4000001.0000.000
7 A. Monasterio SS4010000.2500.500
8 C. Wong C2110001.5001.000
9 N. Sogard 3B4011001.2500.750
Braves Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Baldwin C2002020.0000.400
2 O. Albies 2B5110001.2000.400
3 M. Olson 1B3001011.0000.250
4 M. Harris CF4100000.0000.000
5 A. Riley 3B4223101.5002.000
6 D. Smith DH4011000.2500.500
7 J. Mateo SS3210011.3331.167
8 M. Yastrzemski RF3221110.6672.417
9 J. Azócar LF3010011.3330.833

Red Sox vs. Braves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Red Sox vs. Braves
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Truist Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Braves favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Red Sox 43¢, Braves 57¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Red Sox: 42%
  • Braves: 58%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 42%, while the Braves have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Braves are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Truist Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Braves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.