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Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Red Sox MLB game on May 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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May 12, 10:45PM Fenway Park
May 12, 10:45PM Fenway Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | ||||||
Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
66%
34%
Win Probability
M. Mayer
RHP Z. Wheeler
Last At Bat
Outs
Adolis García grounds out to shallow left field, Caleb Durbin to Mickey Gasper.
13 Pitches
| W-L | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 1-0 | 17.1 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 81 | 3.115 |
| Today | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Turner | SS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | K. Schwarber | DH | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 2.500 |
| 3 | B. Harper | 1B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | A. García | RF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | B. Marsh | LF | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 6 | J. Realmuto | C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | B. Stott | 2B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 3.000 |
| 8 | A. Bohm | 3B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | J. Crawford | CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 1.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Duran | LF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | M. Gasper | 1B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | W. Abreu | RF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | M. Yoshida | DH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 1.000 |
| 5 | T. Story | SS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | C. Rafaela | CF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | M. Mayer | 2B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | C. Narváez | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | C. Durbin | 3B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
Game Prediction Article
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Phillies vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Phillies vs. Red Sox
- Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Time: 6:45 PM ET
- Venue: Fenway Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Phillies -126, Red Sox +125
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Phillies: 56%
- Red Sox: 44%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 56%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Phillies vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
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