Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Red Sox MLB game on May 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Zack Wheeler 1-0, 3.12 ERA
2
1
Fenway Park
Red Sox
Jovani Morán 0-0, 2.91 ERA
Fenway Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 1
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • Red Sox
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Marcelo Mayer grounds out to shallow infield, Bryson Stott to Bryce Harper.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4000001.0000.000
2 K. Schwarber DH3111110.3331.833
3 B. Harper 1B4000002.0000.000
4 A. García RF4000002.0000.000
5 B. Marsh LF4110000.2500.500
6 J. Realmuto C4000001.0000.000
7 B. Stott 2B4021001.5001.250
8 A. Bohm 3B3010000.3330.666
9 J. Crawford CF2000012.0000.333
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Duran LF4000002.0000.000
2 M. Gasper 1B4110001.2500.500
3 W. Abreu RF4010001.2500.500
4 I. Kiner-Falefa PR0000000.0000.000
5 T. Story SS3010010.3330.833
6 C. Rafaela CF4011002.2500.500
7 M. Mayer 2B4010000.2500.500
8 C. Wong C0000000.0000.000
9 C. Durbin 3B3000001.0000.000

Phillies vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Red Sox
  • Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
  • Time: 6:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies 56¢, Red Sox +125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 56%
  • Red Sox: 44%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 56%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.