Rockies vs. Pirates Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockies vs. Pirates MLB game on May 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Rockies
Michael Lorenzen 2-4, 6.92 ERA
1
3
PNC Park
Pirates
Paul Skenes 5-2, 2.36 ERA
PNC Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Rockies
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 0
Pirates
1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 X 3 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rockies
    0%
  • Pirates
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
TJ Rumfield grounds out to second base, Brandon Lowe to Ryan O'Hearn.
Quick Box Score
Rockies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Doyle PH1000000.0000.000
2 J. Beck PH11100001.0003.000
3 H. Goodman C4011002.2500.750
4 T. Rumfield 1B4000001.0000.000
5 T. Freeman RF3000001.0000.000
6 T. Johnston DH2010001.5001.667
7 W. Castro 3B3000001.0000.000
8 E. Tovar SS3000001.0000.000
9 K. Karros PH1000000.0000.000
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Cruz CF4230001.7502.000
2 B. Lowe 2B3011011.3330.833
3 B. Reynolds RF3011010.3330.833
4 R. O'Hearn 1B4000002.0000.000
5 N. Gonzales 3B4021001.5001.250
6 M. Ozuna DH4000001.0000.000
7 B. Cook LF0000000.0000.000
8 K. Griffin SS4100000.0000.000
9 H. Davis C3000011.0000.250

Rockies vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rockies vs. Pirates
  • Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pirates favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rockies 28¢, Pirates 72¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rockies: 29%
  • Pirates: 71%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockies a win probability of 29%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 71%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Rockies in the MLB game at PNC Park on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockies vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.