Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Marlins MLB game on May 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Orioles
Cade Povich 1-1, 4.41 ERA
3
4
May 7, 6:40 PM ET loanDepot park
Marlins
Max Meyer 2-0, 2.68 ERA
May 7, 6:40 PM ET loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 3 9 1
Marlins
2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    0%
  • Marlins
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Javier Sanoja reaches on error. Joe Mack scores. Throwing error by Coby Mayo.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Henderson SS5011001.2000.400
2 T. Ward DH3100012.0000.250
3 D. Beavers LF3020010.6671.750
4 P. Alonso 1B4011001.2500.500
5 S. Basallo C4110000.2500.750
6 T. O'Neill RF4011001.2500.500
7 C. Cowser CF4000002.0000.000
8 C. Mayo 3B4120000.5001.000
9 B. Alexander 2B0000000.0000.000
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Lopez SS4020000.5001.000
2 X. Edwards 2B10100001.0002.000
3 L. Hicks 1B4112101.2501.250
4 C. Morel DH4000002.0000.000
5 H. Hernández LF4000000.0000.000
6 K. Stowers PH1000000.0000.000
7 J. Marsee CF3000001.0000.250
8 J. Mack C11100001.0003.000
9 J. Sanoja 3B3100010.0000.250

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Orioles vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Orioles vs. Marlins
  • Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Marlins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Orioles +120, Marlins -119

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Orioles: 48%
  • Marlins: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 48%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.