Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rays vs. Red Sox MLB game on May 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Rays
Griffin Jax 1-2, 5.14 ERA
8
4
Fenway Park
Red Sox
Jake Bennett 1-0, 1.80 ERA
Fenway Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Rays
0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 8 13 1
Red Sox
0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rays
    100%
  • Red Sox
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Marcelo Mayer grounds out to second base, Ben Williamson to Jonathan Aranda.
Quick Box Score
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Palacios DH0100000.0000.000
2 H. Feduccia C1000000.0000.000
3 J. Caminero 3B4222110.5001.850
4 J. Aranda 1B5000001.0000.000
5 J. DeLuca RF4220010.5001.100
6 B. Williamson 2B4221010.5001.100
7 C. Simpson LF20230001.0003.000
8 C. Mullins CF4011000.2500.500
9 T. Walls SS3000011.0000.250
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Duran LF4110001.2500.750
2 W. Contreras 1B4010001.2500.500
3 W. Abreu RF3011000.3330.583
4 T. Story SS4110002.2500.500
5 M. Yoshida DH3100010.0000.250
6 C. Rafaela CF4011001.2500.500
7 M. Mayer 2B4100000.0000.000
8 C. Wong C3011001.3330.666
9 C. Durbin 3B3011000.3330.666

Rays vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rays vs. Red Sox
  • Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rays 48¢, Red Sox 51¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rays: 50%
  • Red Sox: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rays a win probability of 50%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rays vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.