Cardinals vs. Padres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cardinals vs. Padres MLB game on May 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB
Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore 1-1, 4.50 ERA
2
1
Petco Park
Padres
Michael King 3-2, 2.95 ERA
Petco Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cardinals
0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 5 0
Padres
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cardinals
    100%
  • Padres
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Manny Machado grounds out to shallow infield, Masyn Winn to Alec Burleson.
Quick Box Score
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B2000020.0000.500
2 I. Herrera DH3000012.0000.250
3 A. Burleson 1B3111110.3331.833
4 J. Walker RF4120000.5001.500
5 N. Gorman 3B3000013.0000.250
6 M. Winn SS4011000.2501.000
7 N. Church LF4000001.0000.000
8 P. Pagés C4000001.0000.000
9 V. Scott CF3010001.3330.666
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Merrill CF3000011.0000.250
2 M. Andujar DH4010002.2500.500
3 M. Machado 3B3100010.0000.250
4 F. Tatis 2B3020001.6671.334
5 X. Bogaerts SS3011001.3330.666
6 R. Laureano LF2000011.0000.333
7 T. France 1B3000001.0000.000
8 N. Castellanos RF3000002.0000.000
9 R. Durán C3000000.0000.000

Cardinals vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cardinals vs. Padres
  • Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026
  • Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Petco Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Padres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cardinals 39¢, Padres 61¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cardinals: 40%
  • Padres: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cardinals a win probability of 40%, while the Padres have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Petco Park on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cardinals vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.