Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Marlins MLB game on May 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Zack Wheeler 0-0, 3.60 ERA
6
5
loanDepot park
Marlins
Eury Pérez 2-2, 4.60 ERA
loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 0 0 2 0 0 4 0 0 6 9 0
Marlins
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 5 8 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • Marlins
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Xavier Edwards lines out to deep center field to Justin Crawford.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH5000005.0000.000
2 B. Harper 1B4110011.2500.900
3 A. García RF5010001.2000.400
4 D. Moore LF1000001.0000.000
5 E. Sosa SS4121001.5001.000
6 B. Stott 2B3213110.3331.833
7 A. Bohm 3B4021000.5001.000
8 J. Crawford CF3011010.3331.167
9 R. Marchán C4000001.0000.000
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Marsee CF5110003.2000.400
2 K. Stowers RF4100013.0000.200
3 O. Lopez SS5232000.6001.400
4 X. Edwards 2B5011000.2000.600
5 L. Hicks C2001010.0000.250
6 A. Ramírez DH3011012.3330.833
7 C. Norby 3B10100001.0003.000
8 C. Morel 1B3010001.3330.833
9 J. Sanoja LF3100012.0000.250

Phillies vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Marlins
  • Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies 50¢, Marlins 50¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 48%
  • Marlins: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 48%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.