D-Backs vs. Brewers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D-Backs vs. Brewers MLB game on April 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
D-Backs
Merrill Kelly 1-1, 9.31 ERA
2
13
American Family Field
Brewers
Chad Patrick 1-1, 2.35 ERA
American Family Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 1
Brewers
0 1 0 2 2 8 0 0 X 13 15 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    0%
  • Brewers
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Tim Tawa strikes out on a foul tip.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 I. Vargas 2B2010010.5001.167
2 J. Barrosa RF1000000.0000.000
3 A. Garcia C1000000.0000.000
4 L. Gurriel LF4000002.0000.000
5 A. Del Castillo 1B2100021.0000.500
6 J. Fernandez SS3100010.0000.250
7 T. Tawa 3B2010001.5001.000
8 A. Thomas CF3000000.0000.000
9 J. McCann P3012002.3330.666
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Jones RF0000000.0000.000
2 W. Contreras C4222010.5001.100
3 L. Rengifo 3B1000000.0000.000
4 T. Black DH5133000.6001.200
5 J. Bauers 1B4112000.2500.650
6 B. Lockridge LF4100011.0000.200
7 B. Perkins CF1000000.0000.000
8 D. Hamilton 2B5122000.4001.000
9 J. Ortiz SS4122001.5001.000

D-Backs vs. Brewers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: D-Backs vs. Brewers
  • Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026
  • Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Venue: American Family Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Brewers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: D-Backs 45¢, Brewers 56¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • D-Backs: 46%
  • Brewers: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the D-Backs a win probability of 46%, while the Brewers have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at American Family Field on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our D-Backs vs. Brewers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.