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Padres vs. D-Backs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. D-Backs MLB game on April 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Apr 26, 8:05PM Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu
Apr 26, 8:05PM Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Padres | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
D-Backs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | X | 12 | 15 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Manny Machado lines out to third base to Nolan Arenado.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Laureano | LF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 2 | F. Tatis | RF | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 3 | J. Merrill | CF | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .400 | 0.800 |
| 4 | M. Machado | 3B | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .400 | 2.000 |
| 5 | X. Bogaerts | SS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | G. Sheets | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 7 | M. Andujar | DH | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.750 |
| 8 | F. Fermin | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | J. Cronenworth | 2B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Vargas | 2B | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .600 | 2.400 |
| 2 | K. Marte | DH | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 3 | C. Carroll | RF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 4 | J. Barrosa | LF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | J. McCann | C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | J. Fernandez | SS | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .750 | 2.250 |
| 7 | N. Arenado | 3B | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .667 | 1.417 |
| 8 | A. Thomas | CF | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 9 | T. Tawa | 1B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 1.250 |
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Padres vs. D-Backs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Padres vs. D-Backs
- Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
- Time: 4:05 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Padres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 14.5
- Moneyline Odds: Padres -125, D-Backs +125
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Padres: 53%
- D-Backs: 47%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 53%, while the D-Backs have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Padres vs. D-Backs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
