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Red Sox vs. Cardinals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Cardinals MLB game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB
7
1
Apr 11, 11:15PM Busch Stadium
Apr 11, 11:15PM Busch Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 1 |
Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Yohel Pozo grounds out to shallow infield, Willson Contreras to Ryan Watson.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Anthony | DH | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 2 | C. Durbin | 3B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 3 | J. Duran | LF | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .400 | 0.800 |
| 4 | W. Contreras | 1B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 1.350 |
| 5 | W. Abreu | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 6 | T. Story | SS | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 7 | M. Mayer | 2B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 8 | C. Narváez | C | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 9 | C. Rafaela | CF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.833 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Wetherholt | 2B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 2 | I. Herrera | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | J. Walker | RF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 1.833 |
| 4 | N. Gorman | 3B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 5 | R. Urías | SS | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | J. Fermín | LF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 7 | A. Burleson | 1B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 8 | N. Church | CF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 9 | Y. Pozo | C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
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Red Sox vs. Cardinals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Red Sox vs. Cardinals
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 7:15 PM ET
- Venue: Busch Stadium
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 7.5
- Moneyline Odds: Red Sox -125, Cardinals +125
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Red Sox: 56%
- Cardinals: 44%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 56%, while the Cardinals have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Busch Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Red Sox vs. Cardinals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
