Reds vs. Brewers: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Brewers MLB game on Friday, September 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Reds
Andrew Abbott 6-10, 4.43 ERA
0
20
American Family Field
Brewers
Dustin May 6-9, 4.69 ERA
American Family Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Reds
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1
Brewers
2 6 0 1 8 0 0 3 X 20 23 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    0%
  • Brewers
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Will Banfield pops out to shallow infield to David Hamilton.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 H. Rodríguez RF4000000.0000.000
2 J. Brito SS0000000.0000.000
3 S. Stewart 1B4020000.5001.000
4 T. Friedl LF1000000.0000.000
5 W. Banfield C2000001.0000.000
6 E. Suárez DH2000011.0000.333
7 C. Jorge CF3000001.0000.000
8 M. McLain 2B3000001.0000.000
9 K. Hayes 3B3000001.0000.000
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Chourio LF6342001.6671.667
2 D. Hamilton 2B2200000.0000.000
3 W. Contreras C5226100.4001.333
4 C. Yelich DH4000002.0000.000
5 B. Naylor 1B0000000.0000.000
6 L. Lara RF5120001.4000.800
7 C. Pratt SS4210011.2500.650
8 G. Mitchell CF5334100.6001.800
9 J. Ortiz 3B5240000.8001.600

Reds vs. Brewers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
  • Date: Friday, September 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:45PM ET
  • Venue: American Family Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Reds (+1.5, -117), Brewers (-1.5, +117)
  • Moneyline: Reds +178, Brewers -182
  • Total (Over/Under): 8 runs (+100/-102)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Reds: 39.0%
  • Brewers: 61.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 39.0%, while the Brewers have a win probability of 61.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at American Family Field on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Brewers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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