Mets vs. Pirates: MLB Prediction & Analysis
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mets | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 |
- Mets
- Pirates
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Ewing | CF | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .750 | 1.800 |
| 2 | F. Lindor | SS | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .333 | 0.933 |
| 3 | B. Bichette | 3B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 4 | C. Pache | LF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | J. Young | 1B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | M. Semien | 2B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 1.250 |
| 7 | B. Baty | RF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 8 | J. Polanco | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | L. Torrens | C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Mangum | CF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 2 | B. Lowe | 2B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 3 | B. Reynolds | LF | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .400 | 1.000 |
| 4 | E. Valdez | RF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 5 | S. Horwitz | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | N. Gonzales | 3B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 7 | R. Simon | DH | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 8 | E. Rodríguez | PH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | J. Gonzalez | PH | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
Mets vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup overview: MLB Friday
- Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Friday, August 7, 2026
- Time: 6:40PM ET
- Venue: PNC Park
Current betting odds
- Spread: Mets (+1.5, -165), Pirates (-1.5, +163)
- Moneyline: Mets +125, Pirates -127
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+106/-108)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Mets: 46.2%
- Pirates: 53.8%
Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 46.2%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 53.8%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at PNC Park on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mets vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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