Phillies vs. Tigers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Tigers MLB game on July 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Cristopher Sánchez 10-4, 2.62 ERA
4
2
Comerica Park
Tigers
Casey Mize 4-5, 2.64 ERA
Comerica Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 0
Tigers
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 10 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • Tigers
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Zach McKinstry pops out to shortstop to Trea Turner.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS2001011.0000.250
2 K. Schwarber DH4010001.2500.500
3 B. Harper 1B4020000.5001.250
4 B. Marsh LF3100011.0000.250
5 A. Bohm 3B4000003.0000.000
6 B. Stott 2B4120001.5001.000
7 J. Realmuto C4112001.2500.750
8 G. Rincones RF4000001.0000.000
9 D. Hill CF3111000.3330.666
Tigers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 M. Vierling CF31300101.0002.000
2 K. McGonigle 3B4010001.2500.500
3 D. Dingler DH3010001.3330.833
4 S. Torkelson 1B4000002.0000.000
5 R. Greene LF3000012.0000.250
6 E. Valencia C4121100.5001.750
7 C. Keith PH1000000.0000.000
8 K. Carpenter PH1000000.0000.000
9 Z. McKinstry SS4000000.0000.000

Phillies vs. Tigers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Tigers
  • Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
  • Time: 6:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Comerica Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies 53¢, Tigers 44¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 57%
  • Tigers: 43%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 57%, while the Tigers have a win probability of 43%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Tigers in the MLB game at Comerica Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Tigers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.