Cruz Azul vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Atlas Liga MX match on May 2, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
3
2
Atlas
AtlasATL
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
A. Gonzalez (69')
Soccer ball icon
A. Rocha (pen.) (81')
Soccer ball icon
C. Rotondi (45')
Soccer ball icon
C. Ebere (55')
Soccer ball icon
C. Ebere (pen.) (87')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atlas
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces J. Paradela
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: B. Gamboa replaces A. Palavecino
  3. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Ebere (pen.)
    3-2
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces C. Ebere
  5. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by A. Rocha (pen.)
    2-2
  6. 81'
    Yellow Card
    A. Rocha (Atlas) cautioned
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: A. Rodriguez replaces E. Aguirre
  8. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by L. Gamboa
    2-1
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: L. Gamboa replaces D. Gonzalez
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: A. Gonzalez replaces E. Zaldivar
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Marquez replaces O. Campos
  12. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Ebere, assisted by J. Paradela
    2-0
  13. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rotondi, assisted by J. Paradela
    1-0
  14. 43'
    Yellow Card
    G. Piovi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  15. 43'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rodriguez (Atlas) cautioned
  16. 41'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rodarte (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  17. 36'
    Yellow Card
    O. Campos (Cruz Azul) cautioned

Cruz Azul vs. Atlas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Atlas
  • Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
  • Time: 11:15 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul -105, Atlas +340, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+140/-167)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 49.9%
  • Atlas: 23.8%
  • Draw: 26.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cruz Azul 1-0 Atlas (13.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Cruz Azul vs. Atlas? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.9%.

The most likely correct score is Cruz Azul 1-0 Atlas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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