Necaxa vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on April 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Necaxa
1
4
Cruz Azul
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
J. Paradela (52')
Soccer ball icon
A. Palavecino (63')
Soccer ball icon
L. Romero (77')
Soccer ball icon
A. Montano (90')
Soccer ball icon
R. Monreal (pen.) (71')
Soccer ball icon
E. Lara (75')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Montano, assisted by C. Rotondi
    1-4
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Diaz replaces J. Rodarte
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces J. Paradela
  4. 83'
    Yellow Card
    R. Alonso (Necaxa) cautioned
  5. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. Palacios replaces L. Faravelli
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Alonso replaces F. Mendez
  7. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by L. Romero
    1-3
  8. 76'
    Yellow Card
    A. Oliveros (Necaxa) cautioned
  9. 75'
    Red Card
    E. Lara (Necaxa) sent off with a straight red card
  10. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: E. Lara replaces R. Martinez
  11. 73'
    Yellow Card
    F. Mendez (Necaxa) cautioned
  12. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces O. Campos
  13. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by R. Monreal (pen.)
    1-2
  14. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Ebere replaces G. Fernandez
  15. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces A. Garcia
  16. 66'
    Yellow Card
    A. Garcia (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  17. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Palavecino, assisted by J. Paradela
    0-2
  18. 59'
    Yellow Card
    F. Rossano (Necaxa) cautioned
  19. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. Ruiz replaces I. Tello
  20. 52'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Paradela, assisted by C. Rotondi
    0-1

Necaxa vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +1100, Cruz Azul -375, draw +500
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-250/+188)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 13.0%
  • Cruz Azul: 69.2%
  • Draw: 17.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 0-2 Cruz Azul (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Necaxa vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 69.2%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 0-2 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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