Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM Liga MX match on April 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Juarez
2
4
Apr 21, 9:00 PM ET
Pumas UNAM
Apr 21, 9:00 PM ET
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Score Summary
JuarezJUA
G. Martinez (pen.) (66')
Soccer ball icon
G. Martinez (70')
Soccer ball icon
R. Morales (86')
Soccer ball icon
R. Morales (90')
Soccer ball icon
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin (35')
Soccer ball icon
J. M. Torres Ramirez I. (45')
Soccer ball icon
E. Lopez (55')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pumas UNAM
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Juarez
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: D. Ramirez replaces J. Carrillo
90'
Yellow Card
J. Murillo (Juarez) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by R. Morales
2-4
88'
Yellow Card
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin (Juarez) cautioned
86'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by R. Morales, assisted by U. Antuna
2-3
82'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: T. Leone replaces R. Lopez
82'
Yellow Card
Guilherme Castilho (Juarez) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: H. E. Martinez Yepez replaces D. Garcia
77'
Yellow Card
J. Carrillo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez, assisted by J. Carrillo
2-2
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez (pen.)
2-1
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: L. Dupuy replaces E. Ayon
61'
Yellow Card
Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: Guilherme Castilho replaces J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: J. Aquino replaces Puma
57'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: U. Antuna replaces A. Medina
55'
Red Card
E. Lopez (Juarez) sent off with a straight red card
46'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Rico replaces Juninho
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Juarez by J. M. Torres Ramirez I., assisted by Puma
2-0
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Juarez by F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin, assisted by E. Lopez
1-0
9'
Yellow Card
E. Ayon (Juarez) cautioned

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Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM
  • Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Juarez +400, Pumas UNAM -143, draw +333
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-211/+160)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Juarez: 21.8%
  • Pumas UNAM: 54.9%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Juarez 1-1 Pumas UNAM (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM? Prediction & correct score

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.9%.

The most likely correct score is Juarez 1-1 Pumas UNAM.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.