Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM Liga MX match on April 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.

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FINAL

LIGA MX

FINAL

LIGA MX

Juarez

Apr 21, 9:00 PM ET

Pumas UNAM

Apr 21, 9:00 PM ET

Pumas UNAMUNAM

Score Summary

JuarezJUA

G. Martinez (pen.) (66')

G. Martinez (70')

R. Morales (86')

R. Morales (90')

F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin (35')

J. M. Torres Ramirez I. (45')

E. Lopez (55')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

Pumas UNAM
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
Juarez
0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: D. Ramirez replaces J. Carrillo
90'
J. Murillo (Juarez) cautioned
90'
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by R. Morales
2-4
88'
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin (Juarez) cautioned
86'
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by R. Morales, assisted by U. Antuna
2-3
82'
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: T. Leone replaces R. Lopez
82'
Guilherme Castilho (Juarez) cautioned
78'
Substitution for Juarez: H. E. Martinez Yepez replaces D. Garcia
77'
J. Carrillo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
70'
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez, assisted by J. Carrillo
2-2
66'
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez (pen.)
2-1
66'
Substitution for Juarez: L. Dupuy replaces E. Ayon
61'
Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
60'
Substitution for Juarez: Guilherme Castilho replaces J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
60'
Substitution for Juarez: J. Aquino replaces Puma
57'
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: U. Antuna replaces A. Medina
55'
E. Lopez (Juarez) sent off with a straight red card
46'
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Rico replaces Juninho
45'
Goal scored for Juarez by J. M. Torres Ramirez I., assisted by Puma
2-0
35'
Goal scored for Juarez by F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin, assisted by E. Lopez
1-0
9'
E. Ayon (Juarez) cautioned

Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

Teams: Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM
Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

Moneyline: Juarez +400, Pumas UNAM -143, draw +333
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-211/+160)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

Juarez: 21.8%
Pumas UNAM: 54.9%
Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Juarez 1-1 Pumas UNAM (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM? Prediction & correct score

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.9%.

The most likely correct score is Juarez 1-1 Pumas UNAM.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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