Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on April 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Tigres UANL
1
:
1
Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Estadio Victoria
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
T. Badaloni (34')
Soccer ball icon
A. Correa (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Tigres UANL
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by A. Correa, assisted by R. Aguirre
    1-1
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces R. Monreal
  3. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: E. Lara replaces F. Mendez
  4. 82'
    Yellow Card
    R. Monreal (Necaxa) cautioned
  5. 82'
    Yellow Card
    R. Aguirre (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: F. Rossano replaces J. Ruiz
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Angulo replaces O. Herrera
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: R. Aguirre replaces C. Araujo
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. A. Sanchez Guevara replaces F. Reyes
  10. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. Lainez replaces M. Flores
  11. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: K. Rosero replaces A. E. Almendra
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: A. Correa replaces Joaquim
  13. 43'
    Yellow Card
    D. Leyva (Necaxa) cautioned
  14. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by T. Badaloni, assisted by D. Leyva
    0-1

Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Tigres UANL +105, Necaxa +290, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 49.7%
  • Necaxa: 26.3%
  • Draw: 24.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Tigres UANL 1-1 Necaxa (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Tigres UANL is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.7%.

The most likely correct score is Tigres UANL 1-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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