Puebla vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Monterrey Liga MX match on April 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Puebla
1
2
Apr 21, 11:05 PM ET Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Apr 21, 11:05 PM ET Estadio BBVA
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
L. Ocampos (pen.) (42')
Soccer ball icon
O. Torres (44')
Soccer ball icon
E. Gomez (2')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Monterrey
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Puebla
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Mustre replaces B. Garnica
89'
Yellow Card
C. Reyes (Monterrey) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Aceves replaces C. Salcedo
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: C. Reyes replaces L. Orellano
80'
Yellow Card
C. Salcedo (Monterrey) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: U. Torres replaces E. Navarro
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces A. Ramirez
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: S. Rodriguez replaces J. Corona
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: I. Fimbres replaces O. Torres
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: G. Arteaga replaces L. Reyes
45'
Yellow Card
A. Organista (Puebla) cautioned
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by O. Torres, assisted by R. Chavez
1-2
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by L. Ocampos (pen.)
1-1
31'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces A. Canelo
15'
Yellow Card
F. Ambriz (Monterrey) cautioned
2'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by E. Gomez, assisted by B. Garnica
1-0

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Puebla vs. Monterrey: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
  • Time: 11:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +525, Monterrey -180, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Puebla: 14.3%
  • Monterrey: 67.5%
  • Draw: 18.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Puebla 0-2 Monterrey (10.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Puebla vs. Monterrey? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 67.5%.

The most likely correct score is Puebla 0-2 Monterrey.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Puebla vs. Monterrey, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.