Puebla vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Monterrey Liga MX match on April 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Puebla
1
2
Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Estadio BBVA
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
L. Ocampos (pen.) (42')
Soccer ball icon
O. Torres (44')
Soccer ball icon
E. Gomez (2')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Monterrey
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Puebla
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: E. Mustre replaces B. Garnica
  2. 89'
    Yellow Card
    C. Reyes (Monterrey) cautioned
  3. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: A. Aceves replaces C. Salcedo
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: C. Reyes replaces L. Orellano
  5. 80'
    Yellow Card
    C. Salcedo (Monterrey) cautioned
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: U. Torres replaces E. Navarro
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces A. Ramirez
  8. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: S. Rodriguez replaces J. Corona
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: I. Fimbres replaces O. Torres
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: G. Arteaga replaces L. Reyes
  11. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Organista (Puebla) cautioned
  12. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by O. Torres, assisted by R. Chavez
    1-2
  13. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by L. Ocampos (pen.)
    1-1
  14. 31'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces A. Canelo
  15. 15'
    Yellow Card
    F. Ambriz (Monterrey) cautioned
  16. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by E. Gomez, assisted by B. Garnica
    1-0

Puebla vs. Monterrey: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
  • Time: 11:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +525, Monterrey -180, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Puebla: 14.3%
  • Monterrey: 67.5%
  • Draw: 18.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Puebla 0-2 Monterrey (10.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Puebla vs. Monterrey? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 67.5%.

The most likely correct score is Puebla 0-2 Monterrey.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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