Pachuca vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pachuca vs. Monterrey Liga MX match on April 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pachuca
3
1
Apr 18, 9:05 PM ET Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Apr 18, 9:05 PM ET Estadio BBVA
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
PachucaPAC
L. Ocampos (pen.) (21')
Soccer ball icon
Kenedy (54')
Soccer ball icon
A. Bautista (72')
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E. Valencia (83')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Monterrey
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pachuca
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: S. Rodriguez replaces Kenedy
83'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Pachuca by E. Valencia, assisted by C. Rivera
3-1
80'
Yellow Card
V. Guzman (Pachuca) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: U. Djurdjevic replaces L. Ocampos
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: S. Rodriguez replaces L. Orellano
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: G. Arteaga replaces L. Reyes
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: E. Valencia replaces S. Rondon
76'
Yellow Card
L. Ocampos (Monterrey) cautioned
72'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Pachuca by A. Bautista, assisted by A. Dominguez
2-1
70'
Yellow Card
C. Rivera (Pachuca) cautioned
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: S. Canales replaces J. Corona
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: A. Dominguez replaces O. Idrissi
54'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Pachuca by Kenedy
1-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: A. Bautista replaces E. Montiel
28'
Yellow Card
Eduardo Bauermann (Pachuca) cautioned
26'
Yellow Card
S. Medina (Monterrey) cautioned
26'
Yellow Card
S. Rondon (Pachuca) cautioned
21'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by L. Ocampos (pen.)
0-1

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Pachuca vs. Monterrey: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pachuca vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pachuca +175, Monterrey +145, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pachuca: 25.8%
  • Monterrey: 51.7%
  • Draw: 22.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pachuca 1-1 Monterrey (10.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Pachuca vs. Monterrey? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.7%.

The most likely correct score is Pachuca 1-1 Monterrey.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Pachuca vs. Monterrey, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.