Pachuca vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pachuca vs. Monterrey Liga MX match on April 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pachuca
3
1
Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Estadio BBVA
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
PachucaPAC
L. Ocampos (pen.) (21')
Soccer ball icon
Kenedy (54')
Soccer ball icon
A. Bautista (72')
Soccer ball icon
E. Valencia (83')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Monterrey
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pachuca
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: S. Rodriguez replaces Kenedy
  2. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by E. Valencia, assisted by C. Rivera
    3-1
  3. 80'
    Yellow Card
    V. Guzman (Pachuca) cautioned
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: U. Djurdjevic replaces L. Ocampos
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: S. Rodriguez replaces L. Orellano
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: G. Arteaga replaces L. Reyes
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: E. Valencia replaces S. Rondon
  8. 76'
    Yellow Card
    L. Ocampos (Monterrey) cautioned
  9. 72'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by A. Bautista, assisted by A. Dominguez
    2-1
  10. 70'
    Yellow Card
    C. Rivera (Pachuca) cautioned
  11. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: S. Canales replaces J. Corona
  12. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Dominguez replaces O. Idrissi
  13. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by Kenedy
    1-1
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Bautista replaces E. Montiel
  15. 28'
    Yellow Card
    Eduardo Bauermann (Pachuca) cautioned
  16. 26'
    Yellow Card
    S. Medina (Monterrey) cautioned
  17. 26'
    Yellow Card
    S. Rondon (Pachuca) cautioned
  18. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by L. Ocampos (pen.)
    0-1

Pachuca vs. Monterrey: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pachuca vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pachuca +175, Monterrey +145, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pachuca: 25.8%
  • Monterrey: 51.7%
  • Draw: 22.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pachuca 1-1 Monterrey (10.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Pachuca vs. Monterrey? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.7%.

The most likely correct score is Pachuca 1-1 Monterrey.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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